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View Full Version : Set vs push on monochrome flop


Lolzor
12-01-2007, 06:22 PM
Is this an easy fold or is there some value in shoving? Flush seems likely considering his AF or possibly a higher set. What is your line?

Villain is 19/7/0.9 over ~330 hands.

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (5 handed) Full Tilt (http://www.flopturnriver.com/reviews/Online-Poker-FullTilt.php#converter) Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (http://www.flopturnriver.com) (Format: 2+2 Forums)

saw flop

BB ($9)
<font color="#C00000">UTG ($26.90)</font>
MP ($24.35)
Button ($25.60)
<font color="#C00000">Hero ($25.75)</font>

Preflop: Hero is SB with 4/images/graemlins/club.gif, 4/images/graemlins/diamond.gif.
<font color="#CC3333">UTG raises to $0.85</font>, MP calls $0.85, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Hero calls $0.75, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>.

Flop: ($2.80) 9/images/graemlins/heart.gif, 4/images/graemlins/heart.gif, 7/images/graemlins/heart.gif <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $2.45</font>, <font color="#CC3333">UTG raises to $10.15</font>, MP folds, Hero ?

cheer
12-01-2007, 06:32 PM
all in
neutral ev vs this guy though.

Triggerle
12-01-2007, 06:52 PM
I'm not sure if this game plays aggressively enough to push. It is close because you have outs to the board pairing if he has a flush and you are ahead of combo draws and A/images/graemlins/heart.gifx

If you are not afraid of variance and think you can utilise the image gained by pushing then go ahead and push. Like cheer said you are not really ahead here equity-wise, though.

MatteyA28
12-01-2007, 06:58 PM
Villain has a pfr of 7 and is raising utg. this really narrows his range. His range is going to be mostly sets, overpairs and 2 big suited cards that made a flush. There are also probably some AhXx that will be in there but that only furthers your equity.

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 61.941% 60.75% 01.19% 24056 472.50 { 4c4d }
Hand 1: 38.059% 36.87% 01.19% 14599 472.50 { 99+, 77, AhKh, AhQh, AhJh, KhQh }


Pushing should be profitable.

Altreg
12-02-2007, 02:16 AM
insta CRAI