30NL 200+BBs deep w/ flopped set

[0uTpLaYeD]

Villain is 83/20/1.1 over just 30 hands. I have no other reads on the player as I just sat down at the table. Any suggestions on a better line?


AND WHAT THE [censored] DO I DO ON THIS RIVER?!?!?!?!

Full Tilt Poker, $0.15/$0.30 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 5 Players
LeggoPoker.com (http://www.leggopoker.com) - Hand History Converter (http://www.leggopoker.com/hh)

BTN: $26.85
SB: $116.95
BB: $38.60
UTG: $67.05
Hero (CO): $65.35

Pre-Flop: 6/images/graemlins/heart.gif 6/images/graemlins/club.gif dealt to Hero (CO)
UTG calls $0.30, <font color="red">Hero raises to $1.35</font>, 3 folds, UTG calls $1.05

Flop: ($3.15) 3/images/graemlins/diamond.gif 6/images/graemlins/diamond.gif 9/images/graemlins/club.gif (2 Players)
UTG checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $2.40</font>, UTG calls $2.40

Turn: ($7.95) J/images/graemlins/heart.gif (2 Players)
UTG checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $5.70</font>, UTG calls $5.70

River: ($19.35) 2/images/graemlins/club.gif (2 Players)
UTG checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $14.10</font>, <font color="red">UTG raises to $57.60 and is All-In</font>, Hero ?

[pokerclaudio]

Snap call. overbets 57.60 into 33 dollar pot. Trying to steal it, imo.

[vaNq]

Fairly easy call imo, the only draw that fills here is 54, and he would be retarded to call that turn bet with it anyway (54d probably c-raises flop), so you're probably wayyyyy ahead.

[thoman8r]

snap call. This is two pair, AJ, and missed draws a lot.

[0uTpLaYeD]

a player with an AF of ~1 def. isn't c/ring missed draws on the river

but I agree with everything else you said

[limit refugee]

With a call on the river, played perfect.

He has it sometimes and doesn't much more.

[thoman8r]

[ QUOTE ]
a player with an AF of ~1 def. isn't c/ring missed draws on the river

but I agree with everything else you said

[/ QUOTE ]

a 1.1 AF for an 83% VPIP is aggressive.

[infinity235]

Call this.

Yes, a 1.1 AF for a 83% is more aggressive than a 1.1 AF for a 24/20 guy, but it still means he is kinda passive.

This could be a lot of 2P, and only in the worst case 54 given his VPIP... call and expect to win.

[hockeyf]

Its not a snapcall, its a crying call.

[Kasane]

[ QUOTE ]
Snap call. overbets 57.60 into 33 dollar pot. Trying to steal it, imo.

[/ QUOTE ]

This is not an overbet. Villain is raising about 45 into a 50 pot.

Crying call, as the above poster said. Bring tissues for the inevitable 45 he will show you.

[Nemesis69]

Snap that [censored].

[80sSynthPop]

Could be set over set as well - limp/call, check/call, check/all-in is a definite "slowplay" line at this level.

Crying call.

[Paul Thomson]

Your biggest mistakes were your bet sizing, imo.

FLOP: pot the flop. this flop hit the Villain's range and he's likely to continue with alot of it and you have to start building a big pot now.

TURN: pot turn. He obviously likes his hand. You got to milk it and protect against draws.

RIVER: good bet on the river. sucks that 45 just got there, but it could be worse and had been the 2:diamond. Call the river and not be happy about it, but know that you're good here more than enough times to make calling correct.

[losingdonkey]

not true at all

[ QUOTE ]
Its not a snapcall, its a crying call.

[/ QUOTE ]