NL50 - TP + FD - call turn AI?

[yegon]

this is really weirdly played by villain, I thought this is very close between folding and calling. What do you think?

Party Poker, $0.25/$0.50 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.com (http://www.leggopoker.com) - Hand History Converter (http://www.leggopoker.com/hh)

CO: $49.75
Hero (BTN): $78.30
SB: $74.85
BB: $49.50
UTG: $152.12
MP: $54.98

Pre-Flop: 6/images/graemlins/club.gif T/images/graemlins/club.gif dealt to Hero (BTN)
3 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $2</font>, SB folds, BB calls $1.50

Flop: ($4.25) 8/images/graemlins/club.gif T/images/graemlins/diamond.gif 5/images/graemlins/club.gif (2 Players)
<font color="red">BB bets $3</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $10.50</font>, BB calls $7.50

Turn: ($25.25) 4/images/graemlins/spade.gif (2 Players)
<font color="red">BB bets $37 and is All-In</font>, Hero ???

[Sorcerer808]

Yes call. I don't see why he wouldn't 3bet the flop if he is doing this with a monster hand. Also you're never drawing dead

[Lego05]

Even with 15 outs you need 2 to 1 to call here. You are getting just under 1.7 to 1....and I think you only have 12 outs a decent amount of the time and occasionally only flushes are good. I don't think your TPNK is good very often.


I think this is not too difficult a fold.

[Profish2285]

Im folding here. You are clearly drawing and you dont have outs to do it with one card to come. I would be pretty pissed about folding because of all the outs but this is one you have to make imo.

[Shattered]

This blows, but it's a clear fold. Although you can't be certain if villain has a real monster or just some random decent hand, it's not really relevant to as you're still playing catch up without odds to call.

[Profish2285]

The other problem is you dont even know which outs are clean. You could so easily be drawing to 9 outs here. Why cant this be 67 that doesnt want you to draw out and/or thinking this is the best way to get value? If its a set you have 12 outs, again no odds. Only way you have 15 outs is if he has a stronger ten and just overplayed the hell out of it.

[yegon]

I thought a set is most likely with an overpair being a possibility. But yeah I folded, just wondered if it was not a mistake.