50NL: KK Turn Decision

[Snafu'd]

Stats only read on UTG: 22/14/2

Full Tilt Poker, $0.25/$0.50 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.com (http://www.leggopoker.com) - Hand History Converter (http://www.leggopoker.com/hh)

UTG: $72.30
MP: $34.80
CO: $50
BTN: $72.85
Hero (SB): $50
BB: $11.75

Pre-Flop: K/images/graemlins/spade.gif K/images/graemlins/club.gif dealt to Hero (SB)
<font color="red">UTG raises to $1.75</font>, 3 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $6.25</font>, BB folds, UTG calls $4.50

Flop: ($13) 2/images/graemlins/club.gif 9/images/graemlins/heart.gif T/images/graemlins/heart.gif (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $8</font>, UTG calls $8

Turn: ($29) Q/images/graemlins/heart.gif (2 Players)
<font color="blue"> Hero... </font>

[bsball8806]

Eh..kind of a sucky situation. Let's discount 22, 99, and 10's as what he could have. Let's also discount AKh, because that probably raises the flop (and probably also 4bets preflop). AJh KJh folds preflop (probably also raises this flop), and I don't really see him with any other heart combination with those stats. Doubtful he has Q10, either.

IMO that leaves us with only a couple of hands. JJ w or w/o the J of hearts, QQ, and very slight possibilities of either (a lower PP, the other two kings, or AA).

Stack sizes make this turn kind of awkward, as we only have about 36 dollars left, and there's a 29 dollar pot. Don't really like an overbet. If we had bet 10 on the flop instead, the pot would be 32, and we'd have 34 dollars left. I probably shove here and hope I wasn't outturned by QQ.

[Daniel LeClaire]

Unless you have a read that he calls light pf and flop, I think you have to c/f. With his flat call on the flop I would put him on either JJ or QQ. If he has JJ with a /images/graemlins/heart.gif he isn't far behind. If he called light with a smaller pair he's probably folding to a turn bet. I don't see a bet getting any value, only providing protection against some hands with one /images/graemlins/heart.gif.

[genius55]

flop bet is kind of small IMO. I prob fullpot/overbet these draw heavy boards with this hand. as played I am very worried about the turn card but shoving turn is still not that bad i prefer checking intending to fold to pot size bet.