25NL: AK TPTK on very ugly board vs huge fish OOP, what now?

[Maunzekater]

That was the most difficult hand in my last session, advice needed.

Villain is our beloved and well know station, running at 70/8/0.8 over a sample of 60 hands. WTSD 40%.

Please tell me what you would do (and why) if you were in this situation.

Party Poker, $0.10/$0.25 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 5 Players
LeggoPoker.com (http://www.leggopoker.com) - Hand History Converter (http://www.leggopoker.com/hh)

Hero (SB): $39.67
BB: $33.87
UTG: $29.32
CO: $36.05
BTN: $27.11

Pre-Flop: A/images/graemlins/heart.gif K/images/graemlins/spade.gif dealt to Hero (SB)
UTG folds, CO calls $0.25, BTN folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $1.50</font>, BB calls $1.25, CO folds

Flop: ($3.25) Q/images/graemlins/spade.gif J/images/graemlins/spade.gif K/images/graemlins/diamond.gif (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $2</font>, <font color="red">BB raises to $4, Hero ?</font>

[shark_fishin]

i think i would fold flop tbh, there is lots of 2pair combinations and his af is too low to be bluffing alot.

[Maunzekater]

True, but on the other hand there a tons of Kx combos in his range. I know that he will most likely not fold top pair, so calling might be an option.

edit: Kx combos that don't make 2pair, of course.

[eastern motors]

I would call and check to him if you don't improve on the turn. I think you're probably behind but this guy is offering huge implied odds. If you don't improve and he pots the turn, fold.

Have you seen him raise before?

[MrWooster]

[ QUOTE ]
I would call and check to him if you don't improve on the turn. I think you're probably behind but this guy is offering huge implied odds. If you don't improve and he pots the turn, fold.

Have you seen him raise before?

[/ QUOTE ]

How exactly do you expect to improve? If an A comes, any T gives him a strait. If a K comes, any 2pair on the flop is now a FH.... The only possible way to improve you hand is if a T comes, in which case you could easily be splitting....

This is very villain dependent, but I think if you just call flop and check to him on the turn he is going to be again and you will have to fold, so I don't think a flop fold is terrible here, but I think it is a very tough spot.

[Maunzekater]

I can't remember if villain raised before, but usually i notice it when players do something different from what their stats sugggest, so i don't think he raised a preflop aggressor before.

MrWooster, you are right about the A, but if i pick up a /images/graemlins/spade.gif, i have 12 outs to the nuts - and maybe i already have the best hand. Obviously, villain doesn't know to size his bets properly and i will most likely get the correct odds to call his turn bet.

edit: will post what happened tomorrow, 3:00 AM here