NL50 99 meets heavy action on montone board [Archive]

View Full Version : NL50 99 meets heavy action on montone board

Parvex

11-19-2007, 08:38 AM

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (4 handed) Poker Stars (http://www.flopturnriver.com/reviews/Online-Poker-PokerStars.php#converter) Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (http://www.flopturnriver.com) (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Hero ($52.10)
UTG ($28.75)
Button ($31.40)
SB ($74.80)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 9/images/graemlins/heart.gif, 9/images/graemlins/club.gif.
UTG calls $0.50, Button calls $0.50, SB completes, Hero raises to $3.25, UTG calls $2.75, Button calls $2.75, SB folds.

Flop: ($10.25) 5/images/graemlins/club.gif, 2/images/graemlins/club.gif, 3/images/graemlins/club.gif (3 players)
Hero bets $9.75, UTG raises to $25.5, Button calls $25.50, Hero ???

Both villains seem to be pretty incompetent with UTG being 44/15/1.8 over 110 hands and Button 40/4/1.3 over 125 hands.

Easy fold, right?

xoom

11-19-2007, 08:41 AM

Super easy fold. You're only 42% to win against A /images/graemlins/club.gif, and there's still the possibility of a made flush/TT+/set.

Malifous

11-19-2007, 08:50 AM

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willyc

11-19-2007, 08:53 AM

Well in the best case they are both on draws, but they probably have 15 outs between them, and of course either of them could have a set, better overpair, or a made flush.

You need 22% equity to call which is really good... but I feel like a made flush is a big enough of their combined ranges to make calling marginal or bad here.

willyc

11-19-2007, 08:56 AM

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Yeah it looks like a really easy fold, but isn't 4.5:1 enough to give it a second thought? I'm curious as to whether anyone would call here.

Profish2285

11-19-2007, 08:57 AM

This is a pretty quick fold. Worst case scenario youre drawing close to dead as one villain could have a set while other has the flush or is drawing to a high flush. Best case scenario, theyre both drawing but Im going to assume they have at least 3 overs on you, more than likely all 4 and youre looking like an overall dog by the time you get to showdown. I dont think the odds are even close to your favor with the realistic chance that youre drawing close to dead much more often than youre just moderately behind.

Nick Royale

11-19-2007, 09:10 AM

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Yeah it looks like a really easy fold, but isn't 4.5:1 enough to give it a second thought? I'm curious as to whether anyone would call here.

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The odds doesn't mean much when you're drawing dead.

Malifous

11-19-2007, 09:13 AM

*sloww*

willyc

11-19-2007, 09:14 AM

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Yeah it looks like a really easy fold, but isn't 4.5:1 enough to give it a second thought? I'm curious as to whether anyone would call here.

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The odds doesn't mean much when you're drawing dead.

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Running 9's FTW. Just kidding.

I think I might have called this vs. bad opponents, thanks for letting me know that this is a leak.