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View Full Version : 25 NL 3rd nut flush !


DickieBets
10-29-2007, 12:08 AM
MP was a very fishy player - 81/16/5 - despite his loose play preflop he was decent postflop !

I had seen him lead out weak with a draw and with a weak 2 pair - that's why I check raised - I figured he'd be drawing to something on that board.

I have no idea how to evaluate the strength of my hand here ? Any help on how to analyse this would be appreciated !

Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LegoPoker (http://www.legopoker.com)Hand History Converter (http://www.legopoker.com/hh)

MP: $31.15
CO: $25
BTN: $29.25
SB: $38.30
Hero (BB): $32.80
UTG: $25.70

Pre-Flop: 9/images/graemlins/spade.gif 8/images/graemlins/spade.gif dealt to Hero (BB)
UTG folds, MP calls $0.25, CO calls $0.25, 2 folds, Hero checks

Flop: ($0.85) A/images/graemlins/spade.gif K/images/graemlins/club.gif T/images/graemlins/spade.gif (3 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $0.65</font>, MP calls $0.65, CO calls $0.65

Turn: ($2.80) Q/images/graemlins/spade.gif (3 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">MP bets $1</font>, CO calls $1, <font color="red">Hero raises to $6</font>, <font color="red">MP raises to $11</font>, CO folds, <font color="red">Hero ???

Profish2285
10-29-2007, 12:11 AM
I shove here. He can think a jack is the nuts, or he could have the J of spades. Would he really just call flop with KJ spades?

Khaos4k
10-29-2007, 12:23 AM
From an 81/16 you can expect to see a lower flush a lot of the time. Or a straight. Or a flush draw. Push.

whyzze
10-29-2007, 12:53 AM
not shoving here is horrible. look at his AF...you have his range crushed.

EMc
10-29-2007, 12:55 AM
AHHHH GOD DAMMIT IM GOING ALL IN

Bavid Denyamine
10-29-2007, 07:11 AM
[ QUOTE ]
AHHHH GOD DAMMIT IM GOING ALL IN

[/ QUOTE ]

DickieBets
10-29-2007, 11:13 AM
I guess the problem I'm having here is that despite the unlikelihood of him having a better flush - I had a very strong feeling that he wouldn't stack off with a weak hand like that - I actually felt that he was a strong player post flop.

I'm trying to figure out where I should draw the line in trusting my reads vs. relying on odds. Maybe having that accurate of reading ability at 25NL is futile. On the other hand - folding the 3rd highest flush here seems incredibly weak.