NL 50 AQ TPTK against aggro regular

[gergong2]

Villain is 19/10/4 over 300 hands, pretty aggro postflop, and raising a lot with draws, 5 minutes ago he 5 bet allin on flop with nut flush draw.
Wtf can he have after limping first in from button? !!!
22 or q10?


$0.25/$0.5 No Limit Holdem
5 players
Converted at weaktight.com (http://weaktight.com/)

Stacks:
UTG (<font color="#0000cc">$40.50</font>)
CO (<font color="#0000cc">$63.15</font>)
BTN (<font color="#0000cc">$212.85</font>)
SB (<font color="#0000cc">$50.00</font>)
Hero (<font color="#0000cc">$50.50</font>)

Pre-flop: ($0.75, 5 players) Hero is BB A/images/graemlins/diamond.gif Q/images/graemlins/heart.gif
<font color="#777777">2 folds</font>, BTN calls $0.5, SB calls $0.25, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $2</font>, BTN calls $2, SB calls $2

Flop: 2/images/graemlins/spade.gif T/images/graemlins/diamond.gif Q/images/graemlins/diamond.gif ($7, 3 players)
SB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $6.5</font>, <font color="#cc0000">BTN raises to $15</font>, <font color="#777777">SB folds</font>, Hero calls $8.5

Turn: 8/images/graemlins/spade.gif ($37, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $33</font>, BTN calls $33

River: A/images/graemlins/spade.gif ($103, 2 players)

Final Pot: $100.50

[oh well...]

First of all the PF raise is too small - make it $3. Otherwise I think you played this had fine. I'd do nothing different. Seems like you played hand according to your reads which is what you want to be doing.

[Chomp]

The fact we have the Ad makes me more inclined to let this pass on the flop. That's pretty nitty, but villain's bet looks like a milker to me and we are in nasty RIO territory here with TPTK and a b/d fd.

Villains range I think has us in a degree of bother as I think his limp/call preflop &amp; flop mr is a limited range of {22, QT, air}. I find it hard to put anything else in there...FD's really don't make sense I don't think.


Edit: We can make Stove say we have 40%+ equity here if we give him a range of {2p, TP2K, sets}. Meh. Not sure.