z28dreams
10-25-2007, 10:16 PM
Hey all,
I was just playing with PokerStove, and trying to get a feel for how often people hold certain types of hands depending on their preflop raising position. Below is what I came up with:
All are assuming you are vs. a tight/taggy player: (6max)
Early Position Ranges:
22-AA / AT-AKo / A9-AKs - 11%
only pairs - 5.9% (53% relative)
is suited - 1.9% ( 18% relative )
connected or 1 gapper - 3.6% ( 32% relative )
So, vs a tight player, about 1/2 the time you're up against
a pair, and only around 18% of the time you're up against suited cards.
32% of the time you're up against some kind of connected cards.
What we should note: If a decent player raises in early
position, we should rarely be afraid of flush draws.
Because they're also very likely to be holding a pair, it may make
more sense to exercise pot control on paired and raggy boards.
Late Position Ranges:
This varies a lot more on player, but here's what I used for this example:
22-AA, A2s-AKs, A6o-AKo, KT-KQ, J9-JT, 86-87, 78-79, 65, etc
Basically all small suited connectors except for the really low stuff,
and most of the suited one gappers. ~ 30.6%
Pairs - 5.9% ( 19% relative )
Suited - 9% ( 30% relative )
Connected or 1 gapper - 22% ( 73% relative )
What we learn:
In late position, villain is much more likely to be suited than if he was in early position
(around 50% more likely) However, this still only makes up 30% of his range. We're a lot more likely
to run into 2-pair and drawy type hands. We should be less worried about overpairs and sets,
because pairs now make up only a tiny percentage of our range.
Here's a visual breakdown to help picture villain's holdings:
EARLY positions:
xxxx = pairs
xxxx = non-pairs
x___ = suited
xxxx = non-suited
xx__ = connected/one-gapper
xxxx = non-conected/one-gapper
LATE positions:
x___ = paired
xxxx = non-paired
xx__ = suited
xxxx = non-suited
xxx_ = connected/one-gapper
x___ = non-connected/one-gapper
I'm going to follow this up with some hand examples to help put this information to good use and run the math.
I was just playing with PokerStove, and trying to get a feel for how often people hold certain types of hands depending on their preflop raising position. Below is what I came up with:
All are assuming you are vs. a tight/taggy player: (6max)
Early Position Ranges:
22-AA / AT-AKo / A9-AKs - 11%
only pairs - 5.9% (53% relative)
is suited - 1.9% ( 18% relative )
connected or 1 gapper - 3.6% ( 32% relative )
So, vs a tight player, about 1/2 the time you're up against
a pair, and only around 18% of the time you're up against suited cards.
32% of the time you're up against some kind of connected cards.
What we should note: If a decent player raises in early
position, we should rarely be afraid of flush draws.
Because they're also very likely to be holding a pair, it may make
more sense to exercise pot control on paired and raggy boards.
Late Position Ranges:
This varies a lot more on player, but here's what I used for this example:
22-AA, A2s-AKs, A6o-AKo, KT-KQ, J9-JT, 86-87, 78-79, 65, etc
Basically all small suited connectors except for the really low stuff,
and most of the suited one gappers. ~ 30.6%
Pairs - 5.9% ( 19% relative )
Suited - 9% ( 30% relative )
Connected or 1 gapper - 22% ( 73% relative )
What we learn:
In late position, villain is much more likely to be suited than if he was in early position
(around 50% more likely) However, this still only makes up 30% of his range. We're a lot more likely
to run into 2-pair and drawy type hands. We should be less worried about overpairs and sets,
because pairs now make up only a tiny percentage of our range.
Here's a visual breakdown to help picture villain's holdings:
EARLY positions:
xxxx = pairs
xxxx = non-pairs
x___ = suited
xxxx = non-suited
xx__ = connected/one-gapper
xxxx = non-conected/one-gapper
LATE positions:
x___ = paired
xxxx = non-paired
xx__ = suited
xxxx = non-suited
xxx_ = connected/one-gapper
x___ = non-connected/one-gapper
I'm going to follow this up with some hand examples to help put this information to good use and run the math.