AA vs a fishy on scary board

[corsakh]

Fishy is 45/20/1.6 over a good sample.

The following hand happened literally a second ago another table. Money is still shipping my way.

Tight CO opens, I pop from SB with QQ, fishy in question cold calls from BB, CO calls. I cbet T78 two tone flop, fishy pushes, CO folds, I suck out with QQ over his Kings.

Someone limps, fishy limps in SB, I raise to 3.5 from BB with AA, limper folds, fishy calls.

Flop 7T9 tow tone. I bet $6 into $7, fishy pop to $16.

$60 behind.

[Schiester]

He doesn't seem to be too worried about overpairs. I'm folding here.

Does this range sound reasonable for this villan?

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

121,770 games 0.005 secs 24,354,000 games/sec

Board: 7d Td 9h
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 23.501% 22.06% 01.44% 26868 1749.00 { AA }
Hand 1: 76.499% 75.06% 01.44% 91404 1749.00 { 99, 77, T9s, 86s, AdTc, AdTh, AdTs, T9o }

[Genesis]

I think your range is skewed towards only hands that beat us. He could easily have JT, QJ, 98, T8, etc. if he can have 86s.

I expect to see a draw or draw+pair that we are ahead of more often than not here. He's probably steaming a bit from that last hand and the aggression is kicked up a notch.

[Schiester]

[ QUOTE ]
I think your range is skewed towards only hands that beat us. He could easily have JT, QJ, 98, T8, etc. if he can have 86s.

I expect to see a draw or draw+pair that we are ahead of more often than not here. He's probably steaming a bit from that last hand and the aggression is kicked up a notch.

[/ QUOTE ]

So call, raise or shove?

[Genesis]

I'm pushing. And I expect to be called almost every time. I ran a bit wider range through Stove and think we're probably about 50/50 here equity-wise.

[Schiester]

[ QUOTE ]
I'm pushing. And I expect to be called almost every time. I ran a bit wider range through Stove and think we're probably about 50/50 here equity-wise.

[/ QUOTE ]

Cheers.

Good point.

...Seeing monsters again.