50nl, 2nd pair facing river bet on drawy board

[derosnec]

villain is 13/10, fold BB to steal 87%, bets turn 75%, i think bets river about 60% or so

AF: 5.6, 4.7, 2.5

what could he have here? i can't put him on a hand that's not a draw


PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool (http://poker-tools.flopturnriver.com/Hand-Converter.php) from FlopTurnRiver.com (http://www.flopturnriver.com) (Format: 2+2 Forums)

BB ($56.30)
UTG ($66.45)
MP ($61.45)
Button ($56.55)
Hero ($60.30)

Preflop: Hero is SB with K/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, Q/images/graemlins/club.gif.
<font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $2</font>, BB calls $1.50.

Flop: ($4) A/images/graemlins/club.gif, Q/images/graemlins/heart.gif, 9/images/graemlins/heart.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $3</font>, BB calls $3.

Turn: ($10) 6/images/graemlins/spade.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $7.5</font>, BB calls $7.50.

River: ($25) 9/images/graemlins/diamond.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">BB bets $18</font>, Hero

[prodonkey]

an ace? 66? 99? AQ/AT/AJ? TJ? missed hearts.

If you think he was drawing I'd say you have a pretty easy call since you checked and induced the bluff.

[creamfillin]

insta-muck, this guy probably doesn't even call from the blinds without an ace/pp

[derosnec]

ok i folded. but something didn't add up with his calling two streets on drawy board, especially when he has a high aggression factor. oh well, people call down with good hands i suppose.

[whyzze]

if you cant, then pull the trigger.


HOWEVER. Since the baord paired on the river, he is betting a ton of aces he would play passively on other streets. I dont think he has AK/AQ/A9. He probably has a worse ace. Since you check, he realizes he is probably a chop with AJ and tries to shove you out of the pot with a splitting hand...which is what your line looks like at this point.


I fold against this nit.

[creamfillin]

You need more of a read here to call IMO

[Micro Donk]

am i the only one who really doesnt like a turn bet? hes folding anything under a mid-high ace. he bets the turn a lot too so i prefer a c/c...

river a bet would be a tough spot but id call a smaller bet given he likes to bet it a lot

[2p2J]

He makes a pretty sizable bet on the river. It does look to be aces up its too bad you didn't pay him off so we could see what he had either way its a good fold even though we don't like it.

[bozzer]

its ok to check the flop, check turn, equity not enough to protect, river good, he could be bluffing but not quite enough imo. i would worry about A9 tbh.

[corsakh]

May be sample size issues.

I can't put him on hearts since there are not many in his calling range and given his AF he is most certainly raising them in a blind battle.

JT is more likely, but same logic applies.

The only hand that kinda makes sense is a weak ace since your kicker may now be counterfeited and he may be trying to fold a split with AT or something stupid like this. But then again there aren't many in his range.

I don't give him credit for a slowplay and neither for a nine especially considering the nine of hearts is on the board.

So I don't know and this is probably a sample issue and he is a tool who called you done with a set of something.