PDA

View Full Version : 25NL - QQ vs overbet from nitty player.


VLV
09-23-2007, 09:15 PM
Villain is 9.1/9.1/2 over only 22 hands, haven't seen much from him at all. I've been pretty active and am probably running something like 30/30/3.

Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.10/$0.25 Blinds - 4 Players - (LegoPoker (http://www.legopoker.com) Hand History Converter (http://www.legopoker.com/hh))

Hero (SB): $25.00
BB: $30.20
UTG: $29.70
BTN: $27.35

Preflop: Hero is dealt Q/images/graemlins/diamond.gif Q/images/graemlins/heart.gif (4 Players)
UTG folds, <font color="red">BTN raises to $1.00</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $3.25</font>, BB folds, BTN calls $2.25

Flop: ($6.75) 4/images/graemlins/club.gif 9/images/graemlins/diamond.gif 5/images/graemlins/heart.gif (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $4.00</font>, <font color="red">BTN raises all-in to $24.10</font>, Hero ????

I have $17.55 left. Villian paused before pushing.
What I'm thinking is: I would have been 4bet with AA/KK PF, as set would not over bet so much and would try and get as much value from me as possible, this line makes sense for something like TT,JJ or A9s. I can't really put him on any draw either since there are only GS there and I doubt he's doing this with a draw.

castigar
09-23-2007, 09:18 PM
I fold here. He can't have a flush draw, most likely doesn't have a straight draw with his stats. You're beat.

homeslice
09-23-2007, 09:20 PM
Given your read...I fold

Spanky1974
09-24-2007, 12:37 AM
Not a very big sample size, but some of these guys will slowplay AA/KK. I think his button calling range is something pretty tight like AK AA-99. I'm taking AK and half of TT,JJ,KK,and AA hands out of his flop range. looks pretty close.

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

15,840 games 0.031 secs 510,967 games/sec

Board: 4c 9d 5h
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 42.235% 39.11% 03.13% 6195 495.00 { QdQh }
Hand 1: 57.765% 54.64% 03.13% 8655 495.00 { AdAh, AdAs, AhAs, KdKh, KdKs, KhKs, QQ, JdJh, JdJs, JhJs, TdTh, TdTs, ThTs, 99 }

Give a little leeway for more random stuff and it's not too bad of a spot.