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View Full Version : Lowest boat OOP, dangerous board, pot re-raised pre-flop


Bonk
09-23-2007, 12:56 PM
Not too many read besides that both villains seem donkish.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.05 BB (5 handed) Hand History converter (http://www.learnhowtoplaypokerfree.com/convert/convert.cgi) Courtesy of PokerZion.com (http://PokerZion.com)

MP ($11.69)
Button ($7.78)
SB ($3.37)
Hero ($12.44)
UTG ($4.30)

Preflop: Hero is BB with J/images/graemlins/heart.gif, J/images/graemlins/diamond.gif.
<font color="#CC3333">UTG raises to $0.15</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises to $0.3</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Hero calls $0.25, <font color="#CC3333">UTG raises to $0.5</font>, Button calls $0.20, Hero calls $0.20.

Flop: ($1.52) K/images/graemlins/heart.gif, Q/images/graemlins/heart.gif, K/images/graemlins/club.gif <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
Hero checks, UTG checks, Button checks.

Turn: ($1.52) J/images/graemlins/spade.gif <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
Hero checks, UTG checks, <font color="#CC3333">Button bets $7.28 (All-In)</font>, Hero folds, UTG calls $3.80 (All-In).

River: ($12.60) 7/images/graemlins/heart.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players, 2 all-in)</font>

Final Pot: $12.60

Yay or nay? Anyone leads turn and if so how much? If the bet gets called and river blanks what's your line?

KRE8R
09-23-2007, 05:20 PM
OMG did you really just fold that turn?? I think you are ahead enough times to make that call easy. Button is making that play with any K.

Pokey
09-23-2007, 05:35 PM
Button three-bet preflop and then smooth-called the four-bet. That's strong, but it could be any flavor of strong.

Let's say his range is AA, KK, QQ, AK, AQs. It's far from perfect, but If you want to remove some hands you'll have to add others in, and this is pretty tight and about as bad as it could get for you.

Against KK or QQ, you're dead. D-E-D, dead. That's only four combinations, though -- one KK and three QQs.

You're ahead of AA, and that's six combos right there. You're also ahead of AK, and that's eight more. You've got AQs by the short hairs, too, and that's three more combinations.

Even if we discount AA heavily to just one possible combo because it's strangely played preflop, we're still ahead on the turn three times as often as we're behind. The pot is offering barely better than 1-to-1 odds, but we can take those odds safely.

One last thing: if we discount AA because it was played strangely preflop, we should also discount KK and QQ because they were played strangely on the flop and ULTRA-strangely on the turn. I'm thinking villain's most likely holding is AK, here: he decided to "wait and see what happens on the flop," he slowplayed the flop, and now he's frightened of the straight draws, so he's going for it on the turn.

Calling is safely +EV here.