50NL river play with set

[Tib]

Vilain is 40/15/1.7
I checked the turn to induce a bluff on the river.. There we go, vilain bet 6$, and now raise ? if yes, how much ?

Party Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.25/$0.50 Blinds - 5 Players - (LegoPoker (http://www.legopoker.com) Hand History Converter (http://www.legopoker.com/hh))

SB: $22.37
BB: $44.36
UTG: $49.62
Hero (CO): $85.22
BTN: $77.31

Preflop: Hero is dealt K/images/graemlins/club.gif J/images/graemlins/spade.gif (5 Players)
UTG folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $2.00</font>, 2 folds, BB calls $1.50

Flop: ($4.25) 5/images/graemlins/diamond.gif J/images/graemlins/club.gif J/images/graemlins/diamond.gif (2 Players)
BB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $3.00</font>, BB calls $3.00

Turn: ($10.25) 4/images/graemlins/spade.gif (2 Players)
BB checks, Hero checks

River: ($10.25) 9/images/graemlins/spade.gif (2 Players)
<font color="red">BB bets $6.00</font>

[xeanatic]

why did you check the turn? I bet here all day long.
As played river is a call.

[BoerfSt]

Raise river 16-18$

[panda]

He's pretty passive, there's an obvious flush draw, bet the turn!

[Tib]

I checked the turn in hope that vilain will bet/call the river

[panda]

I know, but bet the turn cause you are still getting value from so many hands and why give him a free card?

[Tib]

Yeah.. turn was probably a mistake.. If I bet, he will probably check/raise the turn, do you go till the end?

[panda]

There is nothing to suggest he will c/r turn. Yes I am 100% fist-pumping all in.

[scallop]

Your hand is trips - not a set.

Bet turn.

Passive players generally dont bluff the river OOP very often IMO.

That said, I'm not too scared about the board. if you get boated it sucks for you. Raise to like 18.

[Tib]

he had 44 and hits the full on the turn. I raised the river to 15, (I totally missplay that hand for sure /images/graemlins/tongue.gif ), He goes allin and feel forced to call because he can possibly have a weaker J

[Spanky1974]

[ QUOTE ]
Yeah.. turn was probably a mistake.. If I bet, he will probably check/raise the turn, do you go till the end?

[/ QUOTE ]

I want a loose villain to checkraise the turn. Just shove over the top. He won't fold a worse jack.

[MMa7]

Why raise river anyway? You checked the turn to induce bluff and got it, do you think he's calling your raise if he was bluffing?

He's obviously 3betting better hands, probably calling with a J and folding all the bluffs. That's just my opinion.

My question is, does raising the river make it +EV?