sharky01
09-15-2007, 06:01 PM
So let's take the following example of a hand:
Poker Stars - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.25/$0.50 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker (http://www.legopoker.com) Hand History Converter (http://www.legopoker.com/hh))
SB: $81.15
Hero (BB): $54.40
UTG: $64.60
MP: $42.00
CO: $24.45
BTN: $47.80
Preflop: Hero is dealt Q/images/graemlins/club.gif A/images/graemlins/diamond.gif (6 Players)
UTG folds, MP calls $0.50, 2 folds, SB calls $0.25, <font color="red">Hero raises to $3.00</font>, MP calls $2.50, SB folds
Flop: ($6.50) 8/images/graemlins/diamond.gif 5/images/graemlins/diamond.gif 9/images/graemlins/diamond.gif (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $5.00</font>, <font color="red">MP raises to $13.50</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises all-in to $51.40</font>, MP folds
Pot Size: $71.40 ($1.65 Rake)
Assume he calls this push 45% of the time and when he does so he has a set (so we have 29% equity versus this set). The rest of the time he simply folds.
I just want to check if my EV calculations for this scenario is correct.
He calls|Has set|We lose $50 = (0.45 * 0.71 * -50) = $-15.975
He calls|Has set|We win $100 = (0.45 * 0.29 * +100) = $13.05
He folds | We win ($6.50 + $18.50) = (0.55 * +25)= $13.75
Therefore the EV is -$15.975 + $13.05 + $13.75 = +$10.82
I think my last line maybe incorrect. Any pointers on this would be really helpful.
Thanks.
Poker Stars - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.25/$0.50 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker (http://www.legopoker.com) Hand History Converter (http://www.legopoker.com/hh))
SB: $81.15
Hero (BB): $54.40
UTG: $64.60
MP: $42.00
CO: $24.45
BTN: $47.80
Preflop: Hero is dealt Q/images/graemlins/club.gif A/images/graemlins/diamond.gif (6 Players)
UTG folds, MP calls $0.50, 2 folds, SB calls $0.25, <font color="red">Hero raises to $3.00</font>, MP calls $2.50, SB folds
Flop: ($6.50) 8/images/graemlins/diamond.gif 5/images/graemlins/diamond.gif 9/images/graemlins/diamond.gif (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $5.00</font>, <font color="red">MP raises to $13.50</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises all-in to $51.40</font>, MP folds
Pot Size: $71.40 ($1.65 Rake)
Assume he calls this push 45% of the time and when he does so he has a set (so we have 29% equity versus this set). The rest of the time he simply folds.
I just want to check if my EV calculations for this scenario is correct.
He calls|Has set|We lose $50 = (0.45 * 0.71 * -50) = $-15.975
He calls|Has set|We win $100 = (0.45 * 0.29 * +100) = $13.05
He folds | We win ($6.50 + $18.50) = (0.55 * +25)= $13.75
Therefore the EV is -$15.975 + $13.05 + $13.75 = +$10.82
I think my last line maybe incorrect. Any pointers on this would be really helpful.
Thanks.