An Inevitable felting?

[pofigistka]

Villain is 19/11 over 1.3k hands. Should I be considering folding flop? My intention was to check the turn behind for pot control or give up to a donk. Realistically I doubt he c/r a draw here that often and probs elects to c/c a weaker made hand..Any thoughts?

Ultimate Bet - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.25/$0.50 Blinds - 5 Players - (LegoPoker (http://www.legopoker.com) Hand History Converter (http://www.legopoker.com/hh))

SB: $50.45
BB: $63.80
UTG: $36.85
Hero (CO): $59.90
BTN: $91.10

Preflop: Hero is dealt K/images/graemlins/spade.gif A/images/graemlins/spade.gif (5 Players)
UTG folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $1.75</font>, 2 folds, BB calls $1.25

Flop: ($3.75) A/images/graemlins/diamond.gif 5/images/graemlins/diamond.gif Q/images/graemlins/club.gif (2 Players)
BB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $2.75</font>, <font color="red">BB raises to $8.00</font>, Hero calls $5.25

Turn: ($19.75) A/images/graemlins/heart.gif (2 Players)
<font color="red">BB bets $16.00</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises all-in to $50.15</font>, BB calls $34.15

River: ($120.05) 4/images/graemlins/heart.gif (2 Players - 1 All-In)

Pot Size: $120.05 ($2 Rake)

[Lego05]

Without history or a good read I'd fold the flop.


BTW the Ah on the turn didn't change the strength of your hand relative to his. It may as well have been the 2h.

[pofigistka]

[ QUOTE ]
Without history or a good read I'd fold the flop.


BTW the Ah on the turn didn't change the strength of your hand relative to his. It may as well have been the 2h.

[/ QUOTE ]

I don't see him folding a worse ace though. However, he probably would not c/r a worse ace in retrospect.

[Hail Eris]

[ QUOTE ]
BTW the Ah on the turn didn't change the strength of your hand relative to his. It may as well have been the 2h.

[/ QUOTE ]

Actually, it might as well change it for the worse, since he's never double barrelling a flush draw into our obvious trip Aces.

[thoman8r]

This is 55 or a bluff. If you think he's capable of the latter, a call is fine but when he fires the turn you gotta let it go.

[orig!naL]

[ QUOTE ]
This is 55 or a bluff. If you think he's capable of the latter, a call is fine but when he fires the turn you gotta let it go.

[/ QUOTE ]

Unless you are 100% villain 3-bets AQ OOP, this could easily be AQ. Either way we are big time beat.

[PJo336]

Why doesnt the range include Qdxd?

[Micro Donk]

given his stats, all i can see is KdQd, maybe QdJd. the question is would they c/r...

[pofigistka]

It was only the 2nd time he had c/r flop in given sample.

[pofigistka]

However, I had just folded to his c/r moments before on another table.

[argy1182]

Consider increasing your PF raise size to approximately 6BB instead of 3.75BB. That would provide a SPR of around 6, which would make this hand a lot easier to play and allow you to avoid difficult decisions later in the hand.

[pr0crast]

His flop raise range is probably bigdraw/2pair/55. So you are either flipping or crushed. Fold flop.

[pofigistka]

[ QUOTE ]
Consider increasing your PF raise size to approximately 6BB instead of 3.75BB. That would provide a SPR of around 6, which would make this hand a lot easier to play and allow you to avoid difficult decisions later in the hand.

[/ QUOTE ]

All very well in PNLHE and ok in live game, unfeasible in 6 max though as I open plenty from Button and can't be making it 6x, also opponents would quickly catch on if I was varying pfr that much according to hand strength.

[pr0crast]

[ QUOTE ]
Consider increasing your PF raise size to approximately 6BB instead of 3.75BB. That would provide a SPR of around 6, which would make this hand a lot easier to play and allow you to avoid difficult decisions later in the hand.

[/ QUOTE ]
This strikes me as bad, value-sapping advice.

[Lego05]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Consider increasing your PF raise size to approximately 6BB instead of 3.75BB. That would provide a SPR of around 6, which would make this hand a lot easier to play and allow you to avoid difficult decisions later in the hand.

[/ QUOTE ]
This strikes me as bad, value-sapping advice.

[/ QUOTE ]

It strikes me as bad advice also.

[thoman8r]

[ QUOTE ]
Why doesnt the range include Qdxd?

[/ QUOTE ]

I can't see a competent TAGish player not 3-betting QQ or even AQ in this spot.

[pofigistka]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
This is 55 or a bluff. If you think he's capable of the latter, a call is fine but when he fires the turn you gotta let it go.

[/ QUOTE ]

Unless you are 100% villain 3-bets AQ OOP, this could easily be AQ. Either way we are big time beat.

[/ QUOTE ]

Indeed villain showed AQ.