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cooker3
09-10-2007, 03:46 AM
Poker Stars - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.25/$0.50 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker (http://www.legopoker.com) Hand History Converter (http://www.legopoker.com/hh))

SB: $20.95
BB: $24.25
UTG: $58.05
hero (MP): $76.30
CO: $52.25
BTN: $46.00

Reads: <font color="blue">I am 22/17/2.5 after 100 or so hands
I have no stats at the time as the HUD wasn't showing them. I can't remember anything of note from him/her</font>

Preflop: hero is dealt Khttp://legopoker.com/hh/images/club.gif K/images/graemlins/spade.gif (6 Players)
UTG calls $0.50, <font color="red">hero raises to $2.00</font>, 3 folds, BB calls $1.50, UTG calls $1.50

Flop: ($6.25) Q/images/graemlins/heart.gif 3/images/graemlins/heart.gif 4http://legopoker.com/hh/images/diamond.gif (3 Players)
BB checks, UTG checks, <font color="red">hero bets $4.50</font>, BB folds, UTG calls $4.50

Turn: ($15.25) Q/images/graemlins/heart.gif 3/images/graemlins/heart.gif 4http://legopoker.com/hh/images/diamond.gif 7http://legopoker.com/hh/images/club.gif (2 Players)
UTG checks, <font color="red">hero bets $10.00</font>, <font color="red">UTG raises to $34.50</font>

Pot Size: $59.75

Thoughts?

JROK777
09-10-2007, 03:51 AM
Read The Baluga theorem.

cooker3
09-10-2007, 03:57 AM
[ QUOTE ]
Read The Baluga theorem.

[/ QUOTE ]

I know what it is. Do you just blindly follow a somewhat popular "theorem" without question?

toddxlogan
09-10-2007, 04:08 AM
Nah, [censored] blindly following the theorem. But I think it does apply here, and I think because villain is an unknown we take the 0EV play here instead of one that to me looks -EV (calling).

Instead, consider what hands villain could possibly be making this play with. Only possible hand he could do this with that you are beating (aside from total air, which would be a ballsy bluff considering your continued strength on the above board) here is AQ, and I think that makes up a pretty small portion of his range.

Sure looks like a set of 3's or 4's to me. If villain is bad/loose even 56. I fold.

fees
09-10-2007, 04:10 AM
like... i doubt hes sophisticated enough to make this on a semibluff so his range here is like AQ-56-sets.. so what the answer should be pretty clear.