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View Full Version : Is there any value in betting this river?


Seikeau
08-31-2007, 10:46 AM
I've played around 25 at this table, villain runs a good old 58/14/1.4

I am 80% sure he is drawing with a high spade. But would he pay me of with an AsTx type of hand?

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool (http://poker-tools.flopturnriver.com/Hand-Converter.php) from FlopTurnRiver.com (http://www.flopturnriver.com) (Format: 2+2 Forums)

MP ($9.34)
Button ($20.75)
SB ($24.22)
BB ($12)
Hero ($32.27)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with J/images/graemlins/spade.gif, J/images/graemlins/diamond.gif.
<font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $1</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, SB calls $0.90, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>

Flop: ($2.25) 7/images/graemlins/spade.gif, T/images/graemlins/spade.gif, 5/images/graemlins/spade.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $1.6</font>, SB calls $1.60.

Turn: ($5.45) 7/images/graemlins/heart.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $4</font>, SB calls $4.

River: ($12.70) 9/images/graemlins/heart.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero ?</font>

Jago
08-31-2007, 10:49 AM
your converter is weird/broken

Seikeau
08-31-2007, 10:50 AM
Yeah I see, gonna try and fix it, ty.

edit: fixed it I guess

LethargicMule
08-31-2007, 11:20 AM
Sure any T gives you some but most likely a missed flush, make a small valubet and hope T calls.

StubbornRussian
08-31-2007, 12:37 PM
He has bad stats so he might pay you off with his top pair of tens but I am happy just getting two streets here wiht a three flush paired board. I need a better read on the player to go for three streets here.

youngKR
08-31-2007, 12:54 PM
Hes playing the hand way too passively to have any hand that has you beat. Small value bet would be great here. Hes most likely holding onto Tx or a high spade like you said.

Yaboy
08-31-2007, 01:29 PM
I guess a value bet of $4 would be cool here. Although sometimes in this situation I might bet a little more. Say $10, just because the standard value bet screams "I got you beat, but I want just a little bit more money". Where the $10 bet might seem like your buying the pot, in which case you make a little bit more money vs. his TPTK.

Sense1ess
08-31-2007, 04:10 PM
OP, you think villain would play hand this passively with TP/TK+NFD?

orange
08-31-2007, 04:21 PM
bet the river

Smilin'
08-31-2007, 04:34 PM
I'd bet $7 on the river (and fold to a push) unless I think I have a really tight image. I'm not sure you can really be 80% certain he's drawing to a high spade, though it is surely a big part of his range.

nexah3
08-31-2007, 05:27 PM
He'll probably call $8-10 with TPTK.