Marginal Overpair in 3-way rr pot.

[huhwhatyousay?]

Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.10/$0.25 Blinds - 5 Players - (LegoPoker (http://www.legopoker.com) Hand History Converter (http://www.legopoker.com/hh))

SB: $75.85
Hero (BB): $26.10
UTG: $54.20
CO: $22.00
BTN: $6.50

Preflop: Hero is dealt J/images/graemlins/spade.gif J/images/graemlins/heart.gif (5 Players)
UTG calls $0.25, 2 folds, <font color="red">SB raises to $1.35</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $5.00</font>, UTG calls $4.75, SB calls $3.65

Flop: ($15) 2/images/graemlins/club.gif T/images/graemlins/spade.gif T/images/graemlins/heart.gif (3 Players)
SB checks, Hero checks, UTG checks

Turn: ($15) 2/images/graemlins/club.gif T/images/graemlins/spade.gif T/images/graemlins/heart.gif 2/images/graemlins/heart.gif (3 Players)
<font color="red">SB bets $6.00</font>


Ok, I've been at the table for about 15 minutes, and my image is definitely horrible. Very LAGgy pf, which is due to a combination of having tight players to my left and actually having a run of good hands. My attempt to steal at this table is 67.3%. Villain's bet sizing could easily be for bluff induction. What is my plan for this hand? Do I fold or call here? If I call, what do I do on a blank river? What about a Q,K,or A river? I'm pretty sure raising the turn here is spew with my image and both villain's hand ranges. SB is TAGgish, and MP is UTG is tight/passive pre and postflop.

[huhwhatyousay?]

bump

[wingchunflush]

I dont know why your not betting the flop here, the check looks very strange are you expecting someone else to bet so you can fold? I like betting here

[Lego05]

I'd probably bet/fold flop.

As played call the turn bet.

[canavarr]

bet the flop please. you cant let the other two opponents pair their A,K,Q on the later streets. if they have T, they'll let you know.
turn: you under-represented your hand on the flop, and now SB thinks his small-medium pocket pair might be good, or he might be taking a shot at the pot with air. you have to call, hell you might even raise...

[Lego05]

[ QUOTE ]
you have to call, hell you might even raise...

[/ QUOTE ]

Don't raise....there's no point to it.

[jmgambler]

I am at a loss with the Flop check? as played I call and hope UTG folds and that on the river SB checks to me or a J/images/graemlins/club.gif's comes

[huhwhatyousay?]

K; The question's pretty much answered; Thanks.

So, I bet $8 on the flop. UTG folds and SB calls. There is $31 in the pot w/ $11.10 behind. (Approx 3-1). Can I ever give up here? If I'm up against a range of {TT+(19),AT(2-3ish)} (I narrowed down villain's AT combos because I don't think he'll call pf w/ them too often.), I'm pretty much crushed.

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

28,821,630 games 11.594 secs 2,485,909 games/sec

Board: 2c Ts Th 2h
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 10.219% 03.77% 06.45% 1087732 1857650.50 { JJ }
Hand 1: 89.781% 83.34% 06.45% 24019742 1857677.50 { JJ+, TcTd, AcTc, AdTc, AhTc }

Is this analysis on the right track. Do I give up if I'm called. Is it even close?