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View Full Version : Hows my line...flushing...


hennnerz
08-25-2007, 01:55 PM
Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25
6 players
Converter (http://www.neildewhurst.com/hand-converter)

Stack sizes:
UTG: $51.10
UTG+1: $23.80
Hero: $28.10
Button: $39.70
SB: $26.45
BB: $50

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is CO with 5/images/graemlins/club.gif 4/images/graemlins/club.gif
UTG folds, <font color="#cc0000">UTG+1 raises to $0.85</font>, Hero calls, Button calls, 2 folds.

Flop: J/images/graemlins/club.gif 9/images/graemlins/club.gif 2/images/graemlins/heart.gif ($2.9, 3 players)
<font color="#cc0000">UTG+1 bets $2.9</font>, Hero calls, Button folds.

Turn: T/images/graemlins/club.gif ($8.7, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">UTG+1 bets $5</font>, Hero calls.

River: 4/images/graemlins/diamond.gif ($18.7, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">UTG+1 is all-in $15.05</font>, Hero calls.

Results:
Final pot: $48.8

Villain is like 17/11/5 300 hands. Thoughts on all streets please?

Waingro
08-25-2007, 02:07 PM
Wow, the flop is a really easy fold unless villain is a complete idiot. Also, shove the turn.

hennnerz
08-25-2007, 02:28 PM
Thanks Lucky Jim!

SkeetyMcdoogle
08-25-2007, 02:30 PM
Why do you call the flop with terrible odds? Thats a fold for me every time readless, especially drawing to a very low flush.

Shove turn too, a river club rapes you.

hennnerz
08-25-2007, 02:33 PM
He is so aggro = pays me off.

Skewed thinking?

bluffbetter
08-25-2007, 04:20 PM
Your odds of hitting a flush on the turn are 19.15% with villains cards unknown. I make it that you need an average of 6.44 more in the pot from villain when you hit to breakeven. However this does not take into account the times when he has a higher flush and you have no outs, or the times he has a set and the turn is the 2 of clubs so you're flush loses.

So you actually need quite a bit more than $6.44 on average after the flop. Especially as sometimes he'll bet the flop as a total bluff and then check-fold, so if you hit you won't get any more $ into the pot.