tricky turn spot [Archive] - Two Plus Two Newer Archives

ssdex

08-17-2007, 02:14 PM

villain is a pretty solid reg that takes a very strong line in this hand--- I am almost positive its KQ, J10, 88 or 99--- although I think its the first 2 more then the sets. my thoughts on the hand are that shoving is really not much of an option, because I have no fold equity and with 1 card to come im not getting in for 140bb's as a 70/30 dog. So do I fold or call here? or do you think shove?---- I think villain is going to play for stacks regardless of river--- so is this one of those spots where I just call and re evaluate river? would anyone fold here given villain will have 100bb to work with on the river if we call--- thinking i probably have at least 10 outs? just a tricky spots with stacks of ~1.5bi.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool (http://poker-tools.flopturnriver.com/Hand-Converter.php) from FlopTurnRiver.com (http://www.flopturnriver.com) (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Hero ($73.70)
SB ($40.40)
BB ($50.35)
UTG ($75.35)
MP ($49.25)

Preflop: Hero is Button with A/images/graemlins/heart.gif, T/images/graemlins/heart.gif.
UTG calls $0.50, 1 fold, Hero raises to $2.5, SB calls $2.25, 1 fold, UTG calls $2.

Flop: ($8) K/images/graemlins/heart.gif, 8/images/graemlins/club.gif, 9/images/graemlins/heart.gif (3 players)
SB checks, UTG bets $2, Hero raises to $8, SB folds, UTG calls $6.

Turn: ($24) Q/images/graemlins/club.gif (2 players)
UTG bets $15, Hero ?

TS Clark

08-17-2007, 02:40 PM

You're right that you likely have no fold equity here, so I'd opt for a call if you think he's the kind of person you could get considerable value out of on the river. If he's a good handreader or fairly nitty, you might want to just fold here, because you're likely not getting paid off on 5th if you do make your hand in a big enough way to make this call worth the risk.