vanoff
08-02-2007, 07:02 AM
Ultimate Bet - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.10/$0.25 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter (http://www.legopoker.com/hh))
SB: $17.48
Hero (BB): $58.93
UTG: $35.55 -----> 80/1.1/1.46
MP: $10.81
CO: $21.07
BTN: $36.67
Preflop: Hero is dealt http://www.legopoker.com/hh/images/cards/color/Ac.gif http://www.legopoker.com/hh/images/cards/color/Qc.gif (6 Players)
UTG calls $0.25, MP folds, CO calls $0.25, BTN folds, SB calls $0.15, <font color="red">Hero raises to $1.50</font>, UTG calls $1.25, CO calls $1.25, SB folds
Flop: ($4.75) http://www.legopoker.com/hh/images/cards/color/5c.gif http://www.legopoker.com/hh/images/cards/color/3c.gif http://www.legopoker.com/hh/images/cards/color/Kh.gif (3 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $4.00</font>, UTG calls $4.00, CO folds
Turn: ($12.75) http://www.legopoker.com/hh/images/cards/color/Th.gif (2 Players)
Hero ???
Very marginal spot. The player is a reasonable calling station, meaning that if he has even a small piece of the flop he'd call you down otherwise he folds. I definitely expect him to have something. I'm really not good with the math part of the analysis. Here are my poker stove thoughts:
Board: 5c 3c Kh Th
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 34.659% 34.66% 00.00% 915 0.00 { AcQc }
Hand 1: 65.341% 65.34% 00.00% 1725 0.00 { TT-66, KJs+, Kc8c, K5s, JcTc, Jc8c, 6c5c, KJo+, K5o }
Given the 35% equity it looks like a check to me. Assume I bet, how many times does he need to fold in order for this play to be profitable? If so how much shall I bet?
SB: $17.48
Hero (BB): $58.93
UTG: $35.55 -----> 80/1.1/1.46
MP: $10.81
CO: $21.07
BTN: $36.67
Preflop: Hero is dealt http://www.legopoker.com/hh/images/cards/color/Ac.gif http://www.legopoker.com/hh/images/cards/color/Qc.gif (6 Players)
UTG calls $0.25, MP folds, CO calls $0.25, BTN folds, SB calls $0.15, <font color="red">Hero raises to $1.50</font>, UTG calls $1.25, CO calls $1.25, SB folds
Flop: ($4.75) http://www.legopoker.com/hh/images/cards/color/5c.gif http://www.legopoker.com/hh/images/cards/color/3c.gif http://www.legopoker.com/hh/images/cards/color/Kh.gif (3 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $4.00</font>, UTG calls $4.00, CO folds
Turn: ($12.75) http://www.legopoker.com/hh/images/cards/color/Th.gif (2 Players)
Hero ???
Very marginal spot. The player is a reasonable calling station, meaning that if he has even a small piece of the flop he'd call you down otherwise he folds. I definitely expect him to have something. I'm really not good with the math part of the analysis. Here are my poker stove thoughts:
Board: 5c 3c Kh Th
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 34.659% 34.66% 00.00% 915 0.00 { AcQc }
Hand 1: 65.341% 65.34% 00.00% 1725 0.00 { TT-66, KJs+, Kc8c, K5s, JcTc, Jc8c, 6c5c, KJo+, K5o }
Given the 35% equity it looks like a check to me. Assume I bet, how many times does he need to fold in order for this play to be profitable? If so how much shall I bet?