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View Full Version : AK flopped TPTK facing big flop raise


Alexey
07-29-2007, 05:56 AM
Cryptologic - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.25/$0.50 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter (http://www.legopoker.com/hh))

Hero (SB): $51.84
BB: $29.45
UTG: $102.85
MP: $74.05
CO: $70.05
BTN: $53.20

Preflop: Hero is dealt A/images/graemlins/heart.gif K/images/graemlins/club.gif (6 Players)
UTG folds, MP calls $0.50, CO calls $0.50, BTN folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $3.00</font>, BB folds, MP calls $2.50, CO calls $2.50

Flop: ($9.50) A/images/graemlins/diamond.gif T/images/graemlins/spade.gif 3/images/graemlins/spade.gif (3 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $8.00</font>, <font color="red">MP raises to $33.25</font>, CO folds, <font color="red">Hero ...?</font>

My opponent in this hand has low VPIP: 15/12 and high aggression factor: 7
Here I have TPTK, but action shows that if I call I will play for stack. Can I justify call here?
Opponent is very aggressive, so he may do this kind of play with a set, two pair, flush draw, AK-AJ, combodraw, bluff.
Looking at this list of his possible holdings I lean towards a fold getting 2:1 to call.
Am I too timid?

creamfillin
07-29-2007, 05:59 AM
Against an unknown I would dump this. If you trust your read then go fo' broke yo! (You need a really good one to proceed here)

maciczka
07-29-2007, 08:57 AM
Maybe AK too /images/graemlins/smile.gif hard decision to make, I will fold without very good reads.

hunt1897
07-29-2007, 09:14 AM
Easy fold. You are playing for at best, 1/2 the pot, he has flush draw with big A.

Rednas
07-29-2007, 09:48 AM
[ QUOTE ]
Easy fold. You are playing for at best, 1/2 the pot, he has flush draw with big A.

[/ QUOTE ]
If we put him on a big ace with a flushdraw, we are ahead of villain, so why do we fold?

Board: Ad Ts 3s
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 53.939% 53.33% 00.61% 528 6.00 { AhKc }
Hand 1: 46.061% 45.45% 00.61% 450 6.00 { AsQs }

hunt1897
07-29-2007, 09:53 AM
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Easy fold. You are playing for at best, 1/2 the pot, he has flush draw with big A.

[/ QUOTE ]
If we put him on a big ace with a flushdraw, we are ahead of villain, so why do we fold?

Board: Ad Ts 3s
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 53.939% 53.33% 00.61% 528 6.00 { AhKc }
Hand 1: 46.061% 45.45% 00.61% 450 6.00 { AsQs }

[/ QUOTE ]

(At best) He may have set, AKs, with those stats and that raise, easy fold.

mvdgaag
07-29-2007, 10:10 AM
This is why semibluff raises work so well /images/graemlins/laugh.gif

mvdgaag
07-29-2007, 10:13 AM
With that agression factor I think he could be playing weaker aces the same way.

XxGeneralxX
07-29-2007, 10:27 AM
I think your opponents range here is something like TT, 33, AQs AQo, AJs AJo, AT and like a lone KQs spade flush draw. Let me know if im forgetting something. Against this range using pokerstove you have 51% equity and if ur getting 2 to 1 like u said. I would shove.

Rednas
07-29-2007, 10:40 AM
Preflop doesn't make any sense with AQ/AJ type of hands, does it?

XxGeneralxX
07-29-2007, 10:57 AM
good point.... I took out AQ and AJ and added QJs KJs and baby suited Aces w/ flush draw. Now your equity is 39%... AKA easy fold.

Capone
07-29-2007, 11:14 AM
15/12 is nitty. I would say his range is, A10, AQ, TT, 33, or Axs.

Sordini
07-29-2007, 11:49 AM
[ QUOTE ]
This is why semibluff raises work so well /images/graemlins/laugh.gif

[/ QUOTE ]

I couldn't agree more.