Thu games CBB system 48-21-2

[NajdorfDefense]

First off, Vince is a m#@$%&f@#$%^g god.

Okay, looks like prelim pix:
Detroit
FIU
Wisky
N.Texas
ASU
Boise
Hawaii
Fairfield
NArizona
E.Ill
CS-Sacto

I'm due for an 0 fer 11 day, I'm quite sure after hitting that ML on Texas and Seton Hall last night.

Wait, I'm off to play lotto, maybe it will last one more day.

Naj /images/graemlins/diamond.gif /images/graemlins/heart.gif /images/graemlins/diamond.gif

[J_Treez]

E. Kentucky starts as a pick and moves to -1. What's the play there?

[vilemerchant]

oh jeesus looks like it's gonna be an exciting evening /images/graemlins/laugh.gif

[silentbob]

Yeah, I'm reluctant to push my luck given what Seton Hall pulled off last night. Made a last-second bet on San Diego State -1.5 that panned out, too. Any way to pick the 5 or 6 most promising games out of the 11 above? I'd rather put more units on a handful of games than fewer units on all of them.

[Performify]

What I just got at Pinny, for the record:

Spread Loyola Chicago vs Detroit U (-2.5) for Game -106
Spread Arkansas LR vs Florida Intl (-2.5) for Game -104
Spread Iowa vs Wisconsin (-4.5) for Game +103
Spread UL Lafayette vs North Texas (-1.5) for Game -112
Spread USC vs Arizona State (-1.5) for Game -104
Spread Louisiana Tech vs Boise State (-2.5) for Game -107
Spread Nevada vs Hawaii (-2) for Game -103
Spread Siena vs Fairfield (-3) for Game -108
Spread E. Washington vs Northern Arizona (-4.5) for Game -108
Spread SE Missouri State vs Eastern Illinois (-2) for Game -110
Spread Portland State vs CS Sacramento (-5) for Game -109

[NajdorfDefense]

here's what I got:
Det -2.5
FIU -2.5
Wisky -4.5
Drake even
N.Texas -1.5

ASU -1.5
Boise -2.5
Fairfield -3
E.Ill -2.5

9 games qualify. I also like Nova somewhat, still debating.

Naj /images/graemlins/diamond.gif /images/graemlins/diamond.gif

[NajdorfDefense]

[ QUOTE ]
here's what I got:
Det -2.5
FIU -2.5
Wisky -4.5
Drake even
N.Texas -1.5

ASU -1.5
Boise -2.5
Fairfield -3
E.Ill -2.5

9 games qualify. I also like Nova somewhat, still debating.

Naj /images/graemlins/diamond.gif /images/graemlins/diamond.gif

[/ QUOTE ]

N. Arizona -3.5 I forgot. 10 games. Enjoy.

Naj /images/graemlins/heart.gif

[slogger]

Where did Drake come from?

I thought you only took favorites under the system.

[Performify]

Added Drake -1 +110 so I'm on 12 games. /images/graemlins/cool.gif

[Performify]

So did you drop CSSac because they're -5? is that the rule? I assumed I was just late to the party and went ahead and dropped what I assumed to be the extra .5-1

[vilemerchant]

Thanks guys. I'm on all except drake which are +1 on my books. GL!!!

[silentbob]

I've tried to pick games where the home team's RPI isn't much lower (or even higher) than its opponent's.

So I'll probably go with:

Detroit
Boise State
Eastern Illinois
Arizona State
North Texas
Northern Arizona (if it's below 5 or if I can get it for 50 at -4.5 on Tradesports)

[J_Treez]

Yeah, I wondered about that.
I'm on CS Sac -4

[NajdorfDefense]

[ QUOTE ]
So did you drop CSSac because they're -5? is that the rule? I assumed I was just late to the party and went ahead and dropped what I assumed to be the extra .5-1

[/ QUOTE ]

Yes, although the move from 4.5 to 5.0 can only change a win to a push after all. Drake I saw at even and -1, so I went with them as well.

Naj

[NajdorfDefense]

[ QUOTE ]
E. Kentucky starts as a pick and moves to -1. What's the play there?

[/ QUOTE ]
E.Kentucky started as a 1-pt dog.

[J_Treez]

Ok, I either misinterpreted what I saw or Feist had it wrong on the line history. Thanks, because I was really curious on this point.

[wiesman02]

First 3 teams to start are getting beaten pretty bad right now. Looks like the start of a bad night /images/graemlins/frown.gif

[Performify]

Looking ok so far.

Detroit and Utah win.
Wyoming lost by 11.

Florida Int'l is down to the wire, they're up one but we need a couple FT's.

Wisconsin up 1 starting the second half.

North Texas is up 11 at half.

AZ state up a couple in the 1st.

Fairfield down 12 at half but has ralied to within five with 12:00 left in the second.

N.Az tied at 17:15 2nd half.

[NajdorfDefense]

[ QUOTE ]
here's what I got:
Det -2.5
FIU -2.5
Wisky -4.5
Drake even
N.Texas -1.5

ASU -1.5
Boise -2.5
Fairfield -3
E.Ill -2.5

9 games qualify. I also like Nova somewhat, still debating.

Naj /images/graemlins/diamond.gif /images/graemlins/diamond.gif

[/ QUOTE ]

I put an action bet on Nova, won't count it for the system though. Nice cover there. Other games look like 1-1 so far.

Naj

[NajdorfDefense]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
here's what I got:
Det -2.5
FIU -2.5
Wisky -4.5
Drake even
N.Texas -1.5

ASU -1.5
Boise -2.5
Fairfield -3
E.Ill -2.5

9 games qualify. I also like Nova somewhat, still debating.

Naj /images/graemlins/diamond.gif /images/graemlins/diamond.gif

[/ QUOTE ]

N. Arizona -3.5 I forgot. 10 games. Enjoy.

Naj /images/graemlins/heart.gif

[/ QUOTE ]

Looks like 5-3 so far, Fairfield missed by 1. [plus Nova for me.]
Also leaning AF-8 at home for a unit.
ASU up 4 with 2 to play.


Naj /images/graemlins/diamond.gif

[silentbob]

ASU was up by 2, but U$C hit a three with less than 30 seconds left to win. I actually didn't pull the trigger on ASU and bet on Wichita State instead. Unfortunately, they're not doing any better against Northern Iowa.

3-1 so far with Wichita State and Boise State still playing.

[sooners83]

How did we do last night, I forgot to check my account this morning? Also do any games for today tip off before 5 Central Time (I cant check or do any betting from work).

[gomberg]

I went 6-5 with Hawaii closing the deal late into the night /images/graemlins/smile.gif

Fairfield winning by 2 sucked...

[J_Treez]

Ditto. 6-5 with the Aloha finale.
Fairfield and ASU both kind of sucked, but whatcha gonna do?

[silentbob]

Went 3-3. Boise State was leading for most of the second half but screwed the pooch. But I came *thisclose* to betting on Nevada, so last night "feels" like a victory.

Niagara-Loyola Md. tonight appears to be the only game, unless the Iona -5.5 line drops.

[J_Treez]

Iona is at -5 on sportsbook.

[Performify]

[ QUOTE ]
Added Drake -1 +110 so I'm on 12 games. /images/graemlins/cool.gif

[/ QUOTE ]

I went 7-5 on my 12 games for a 3.6 unit profit thanks to favorible juice from Pinny. Drake came through as did CSSac despite the move to -5.

[chekthastak]

That Manhattan/Iona game is a tough bet, Iona is 8-2 with their two losses coming to major conference teams, Kentucky and Seton Hall, but Manhattan is riding a 6 game win streak. CJ Anderson is also a total mismatch in that conference, but Iona is at home. I wouldn't bet this game no matter the spread.

However Loyola (7-3) -3 at home against Niagara (3-7) looks like a good bet. Niagara also just lost by 16 at Troy.

[J_Treez]

Yeah, Manhattan is hot and you've got a good ticket with just the Loyola game it appears.

I'm going to bet Iona -5 for two reasons, which may prove not worth a damn.

(1)It fits the system. I'm free rolling on profits from the system, so I'm inclined to be a bit aggressive.

(2)My basic handicap over the admittedly small sample size of this season indicates that Iona should win by 5 WITHOUT homecourt advantage.

That being said, I've been betting this system small time. So the BR is pretty safe.

[Performify]

Iona is -4 -101 on Pinny right now. I'm locking that and Loyola -2 -105.

[NajdorfDefense]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
here's what I got:
Det -2.5
FIU -2.5
Wisky -4.5
Drake even
N.Texas -1.5
ASU -1.5
Boise -2.5
Fairfield -3
E.Ill -2.5
9 games qualify. I also like Nova somewhat, still debating.
Naj /images/graemlins/diamond.gif /images/graemlins/diamond.gif

[/ QUOTE ]
N. Arizona -3.5 I forgot. 10 games. Enjoy.
Naj /images/graemlins/heart.gif

[/ QUOTE ]

Looks like 5-3 so far, Fairfield missed by 1. [plus Nova for me.]
Also leaning AF-8 at home for a unit.
ASU up 4 with 2 to play.
Naj /images/graemlins/diamond.gif

[/ QUOTE ]

5-5 on what I be last night here [altho Sacto and Hawaii covered also] and since Sacto was initially listed and was available at 4 points, let's include them so 6-5.

I also hit on Nova and AirForce, both suggested earlier, AF won by 16, so I was 7-5 last night. Not awful /images/graemlins/blush.gif

Naj /images/graemlins/diamond.gif