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View Full Version : $50 NL, 77 flops overpair + OESD


BackdoorQuads
07-22-2007, 08:16 PM
No reads on villain, 7 hands in, never raised. I put villain on a lower set, maybe two pair, maybe the straight, or possibly an overpair like 99-JJ, overs with the flush draw, or some other random crap, so I figured getting about 3-1, an easy call. Also, how's the size of the flop raise?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool (http://poker-tools.flopturnriver.com/Hand-Converter.php) from FlopTurnRiver.com (http://www.flopturnriver.com) (Format: 2+2 Forums)

BB ($30.20)
UTG ($30.85)
MP ($37.25)
CO ($15)
Hero ($49.70)
SB ($40.45)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 7/images/graemlins/spade.gif, 7/images/graemlins/club.gif.
<font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $2</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, BB calls $1.50.

Flop: ($4.25) 4/images/graemlins/club.gif, 6/images/graemlins/club.gif, 5/images/graemlins/diamond.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">BB bets $2</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $8</font>, <font color="#CC3333">BB raises to $28.2</font>, Hero calls $20.20.

Turn: ($60.65) K/images/graemlins/heart.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>

River: ($60.65) Q/images/graemlins/club.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>

Final Pot: $60.65

cestlavie
07-22-2007, 08:44 PM
You're pretty much behind on the flop, you've got about 8 clean outs, just fold to the push.

homeslice
07-22-2007, 08:46 PM
Yeah, you're behind on the flop....just fold when he comes over the top...

BackdoorQuads
07-22-2007, 09:12 PM
Really? Is the following wrong, then?

Plugged into PokerStove, 77 vs. every hand that beats us (plus 33-66, which don't beat us, but probably play the same)

Board: 4c 5d 6h
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 45.541% 43.11% 02.43% 47379 2665.50 { 7c7s }
Hand 1: 54.459% 52.03% 02.43% 57180 2665.50 { 33+, 87s, 76s, 64s+, 54s, 43s, 87o, 76o, 64o+, 54o, 43o }

With 45% equity, and getting odds of 2-1 (my bad in OP, $20 to call, $40 already in pot), isn't this a call?

Havok
07-22-2007, 09:35 PM
try plugging in all of the overpairs that are most likely pushing here too. or maybe the sets. I think this is a clear fold IMHO.