A few river raise hands [Archive] - Two Plus Two Newer Archives

jessyj07

07-17-2007, 07:49 PM

It's pretty clear in this hand that villain has a flush. So if he calls a big raise will he also call a push? He's not a regular but he's not to terrible either.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool (http://poker-tools.flopturnriver.com/Hand-Converter.php) from FlopTurnRiver.com (http://www.flopturnriver.com) (Format: 2+2 Forums)

MP ($20.55)
Button ($170.90)
Hero ($50.50)
BB ($48.05)
UTG ($96)

Preflop: Hero is SB with 3/images/graemlins/heart.gif, A/images/graemlins/heart.gif.
1 fold, MP calls $0.50, 1 fold, Hero completes, BB checks.

Flop: ($1.50) 9/images/graemlins/heart.gif, A/images/graemlins/spade.gif, 6/images/graemlins/heart.gif (3 players)
Hero bets $1, BB calls $1, MP folds.

Turn: ($3.50) 5/images/graemlins/diamond.gif (2 players)
Hero bets $2, BB calls $2.

River: ($7.50) T/images/graemlins/heart.gif (2 players)
Hero bets $3.5, BB raises to $9.5, Hero raises to???

If I raise here, should it always be a push?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool (http://poker-tools.flopturnriver.com/Hand-Converter.php) from FlopTurnRiver.com (http://www.flopturnriver.com) (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Button ($25)
SB ($42.20)
Hero ($51.25)
UTG ($41.70)
MP ($51.45)

Preflop: Hero is BB with K/images/graemlins/club.gif, K/images/graemlins/heart.gif.
1 fold, MP raises to $1, 1 fold, SB calls $0.75, Hero raises to $5, MP calls $4, SB calls $4.

Flop: ($15) 5/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, 9/images/graemlins/heart.gif, T/images/graemlins/spade.gif (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $11, MP folds, SB calls $11.

Turn: ($37) Q/images/graemlins/club.gif (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks.

River: ($37) Q/images/graemlins/spade.gif (2 players)
SB bets $0.5, Hero raises to???

Villain here is around 60/0/0.3 after 50 hands. I've been raising his limps alot and his bb alot and this is the first time he's called me preflop. Should I fold to a push?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool (http://poker-tools.flopturnriver.com/Hand-Converter.php) from FlopTurnRiver.com (http://www.flopturnriver.com) (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Hero ($52.70)
MP ($49.70)
Button ($124.45)
SB ($8.20)
BB ($58.55)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with A/images/graemlins/heart.gif, A/images/graemlins/club.gif.
Hero raises to $2, 3 folds, BB calls $1.50.

Flop: ($4.25) 3/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, K/images/graemlins/club.gif, 8/images/graemlins/heart.gif (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $3.5, BB raises to $7, Hero calls $3.50.

Turn: ($18.25) 8/images/graemlins/club.gif (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks.

River: ($18.25) 5/images/graemlins/club.gif (2 players)
BB bets $2, Hero raises to???

07-17-2007, 08:40 PM

hand 1 shove. there is a good chapter in NLHE theory and practice talking about bet sizing when holding the nuts. It basicaly says to multiply the likelyhood of villain calling a raise in pct% by the amount to bet for example:

if we think that villain calls a small raise 100% of the time

then 10$ * 1(100%)= 10$ EV

if he calls a shove 50% of the time

then 37 * 0.5(50%)= 18.50$ EV

So depending of what you think his calling percentage is in comparison to the bet size, you can calculate the EV.

hand 2 I bet 1/2 pot and hope he calls with JJ. I break the keyboard or mouse if he shows up with TT (you never know against these donks)

hand 3 I value bet turn and river. His stats are calling station.