Nit raises my overpair

[Fiksdal]

Party Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.25/$0.50 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter (http://www.legopoker.com/hh))

SB: $35.19
BB: $25.00
Hero (UTG): $48.75
MP: $57.45
CO: $71.31
BTN: $47.19

Reads: <font color="blue">Villain seems like a nit, although the sample is kinda small. 11/9/oo over 46.

I've been running 25/21/4 over the same sample.</font>

Preflop: Hero is dealt Q/images/graemlins/heart.gif Q/images/graemlins/club.gif (6 Players)
<font color="red">Hero raises to $2.00</font>, MP calls $2.00, 4 folds

Flop: ($4.75) J/images/graemlins/club.gif 6/images/graemlins/club.gif 9/images/graemlins/club.gif (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $4.50</font>, <font color="red">MP raises to $13.00</font>

Hero?

[Fiksdal]

Oh yeah, btw I raised the last three hands in a row without showing down anything.

[Nogatsira]

I think a shove is fine here. Seems like A/images/graemlins/club.gifJ/images/graemlins/heart.gif or something like that.

[bozzer]

very tough spot given previous action. has he shown any signs of adjusting/getting irritated?

[bozzer]

quick stove i did for a wide raising range (given pf stats):

Board: Jc 6c 9c
Dead:

equity
Hand 0: 41.616% { QcQh }
Hand 1: 58.384% { JJ, 99, 66, AcQc, AcJc, AcTc, AcKd, AcKh, AcKs, AdKc, AhKc, AsKc, AcJd, AcJh, AcJs, AdJc, AhJc, AsJc }

[Fiksdal]

[ QUOTE ]
very tough spot given previous action. has he shown any signs of adjusting/getting irritated?

[/ QUOTE ]

Not that I had noticed. I wasn't paying that much attention to him though, playing a couple of other tables too.

Fwiw I think the hand range you assigned him on the flop seems very accurate given what we know about him.

[Fiksdal]

Btw do we have sufficient overlay here to shove even though we are behind his range?

[relativity_x]

hero % Equity $EV Total
push fold 0.01 22.5 0.225
push/win 0.99 0.416 98.25 40.46328
push/lose 0.99 0.584 -48.75 -28.1853

Net $EV 12.50298

Looks like pushing with villain only folding 1% of the time shows a net profit of 12.50. I say yes.

[hunt1897]

Tough tough spot, with the previous 3 hands,a NIT is waiting for a hand he can felt you with. You could be almost drawing dead. Do you want to play for stacks against a NIT with this board and action? I think you could find a better spot than this. I fold this to a NIT with those numbers.

[Capone]

I'd shove here, with overpair and high club. AJ is a possibility for sure.

[simonpoker]

what kind of a NIT would call prf with AJo? you're against set here.

[ajmargarine]

Fold, move on.

[corsakh]

I dont like relying on stats in this case. Villain can be anywhere from 30/25 to 12/8.