PDA

View Full Version : 99 Flopped set facing river c/r 200bbs deep


apunisher
07-11-2007, 03:02 AM
Villain is 23/5/.55 over 82 hands.

Absolute Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50
5 players
Converter (http://www.neildewhurst.com/hand-converter)

Stack sizes:
Hero: $100
CO: $123.77
Button: $54.15
SB: $49.83
BB: $107.25

Pre-flop: (5 players) Hero is UTG with http://www.neildewhurst.com/wp-content/images/classic-cards/9s.png http://www.neildewhurst.com/wp-content/images/classic-cards/9c.png
<font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $2</font>, 3 folds, BB calls.

Flop: http://www.neildewhurst.com/wp-content/images/classic-cards/9d.png http://www.neildewhurst.com/wp-content/images/classic-cards/kh.png http://www.neildewhurst.com/wp-content/images/classic-cards/qd.png ($4.25, 2 players)
BB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $3.5</font>, BB calls.

Turn: http://www.neildewhurst.com/wp-content/images/classic-cards/4h.png ($11.25, 2 players)
BB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $8.5</font>, BB calls.

River: http://www.neildewhurst.com/wp-content/images/classic-cards/ac.png ($28.25, 2 players)
BB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $22</font>, <font color="#cc0000">BB raises to $61</font>.
Hero.....?

Does anyone check JT three times....i would expect to hear from it on the turn. Could AK or AQ play like this, are QQ-AA in villains range given small pfr %?

I can see merits for folding/calling/shoving? Whats my river line?

M.Goodcat
07-11-2007, 03:46 AM
I am not so old in this forum but this vilain is slow playing the nuts and waiting for THE ultimate monster, I would say JTd. If he had had QQ to AA he would have probably raised pf. This call pf smells JTs (and d BTW on the flop)

Peter Harris
07-11-2007, 04:18 AM
I would pot flop and turn. The river c/r may be top 2 pair, or AQ, but it's a ballsy move and it's more likely to be a set or straight i think. I say fold here, i probably call there.

shoxbb6
07-11-2007, 05:07 AM
Snap call?

paulnic
07-11-2007, 05:11 AM
im folding here villain maybe flopped the str8 but was wary of the flush so played it slowly. cant see him making this move with 2 pair imo not on that board...

Genz
07-11-2007, 05:20 AM
Deep stacked like this, there is no reason to make fance bet sizing on the flop and turn. Pot it.

River is really tough, imo. I probably snap call, but if he is check/raising a whiffed flush draw as a bluff there, he is a great player.
Villain is pretty lose preflop so his range isn't too narrow. But as you said, QQ, KK and maybe even AA might be in his range. JT certainly is. That river action is a pretty bold move and contrary to his AF which is rather reliable over that sample size. I think your bottom set isn't good.
If you fold and he shows a bluff, make a note and avoid the player in the future.
(DAMN, AK is sooo much in his range that I want to call. DAMN.)