50NL 2 pair river decision

[BevillTheDevil]

villian is 23/5/1 after 300 hands seems pretty passive for the most part, have seen him not 3bet AK and JJ before


No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50
6 players
Converter (http://www.neildewhurst.com/hand-converter)

Stack sizes:
UTG: $70.84
Hero: $142.23
CO: $112.78
Button: $77.12
SB: $44.45
BB: $102.20

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is UTG+1 with K/images/graemlins/spade.gif J/images/graemlins/heart.gif
UTG folds, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $2</font>, CO folds, Button calls, 2 folds.

Flop: J/images/graemlins/spade.gif K/images/graemlins/club.gif A/images/graemlins/heart.gif ($4.75, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $3.5</font>, Button calls.

Turn: 5/images/graemlins/club.gif ($11.75, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $8.5</font>, Button calls.

River: 7/images/graemlins/spade.gif ($28.75, 2 players)
Hero ??

[bozzer]

i reckon this is worth 3 streets of value. he may be passive, but that can mean he calls too much rather than folds. it depends on how he plays Ax though. I'd bet 1/2 P and hope he's a calling with A9.

[Rollos]

Yeah I value bet on river. Also what site do you play at?

[Fletcher19]

$15

[Win.by.TKo]

Four hands beat you: AA, KK, JJ &amp; QT, all of which could play this line (although KK &amp; JJ are obviously less likely as you hold one of each). His read on your play could affect his play. Has he seen you lay down good hands before this? My common play is to bet about 1/3 pot, trying to look like I want a call &amp; hope to get a showdown. Things become a bit sticky if button reraises. You then just have to go with your instincts.

[BevillTheDevil]

well AK and AJ as well, and I have a really aggro image at the table...

[Fletcher19]

AK? AJ?

[Win.by.TKo]

My oversight, but the concept remains the same.