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View Full Version : NL50 do we fold our set here?


Panic__NL
06-22-2007, 08:44 AM
Villian is 23/5/10 over only 60 hands.

Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50
4 players
Converter (http://www.neildewhurst.com/hand-converter)

Stack sizes:
UTG: $95.15
Button: $17.60
SB: $59.40
Hero: $112.40

Pre-flop: (4 players) Hero is BB with 3/images/graemlins/diamond.gif 3/images/graemlins/spade.gif
UTG calls, 2 folds, 2 folds, Hero checks.

Flop: 3/images/graemlins/club.gif 8/images/graemlins/diamond.gif A/images/graemlins/heart.gif ($1.25, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $1.25</font>, <font color="#cc0000">UTG raises to $2.5</font>, Hero calls.

Turn: 9/images/graemlins/diamond.gif ($6.25, 2 players)
Hero checks, <font color="#cc0000">UTG bets $4.5</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $15</font>, <font color="#cc0000">UTG raises all-in $92.15</font>, Hero calls.

River: 7/images/graemlins/spade.gif ($190.55, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: $190.55)


Results:
Final pot: $190.55

whizzle
06-22-2007, 08:50 AM
we are not folding our set here. His min raise could mean anything. Just like his bet on the turn. We beat any 2 pair and a flushdraw or a straight draw is also possible given his ultra high agression factor. If he has a set i'm happy to loose my money in this spot.

No instacall for me

kewl_cph
06-22-2007, 08:52 AM
This is such a gross spot when you're so deep.

He limped preflop which could easily be a pocket pair, but also almost rules out AA (one less set to worry about).
He looks pretty aggressive, so maybe he has A/images/graemlins/diamond.gif x/images/graemlins/diamond.gif

I think I'd make the call but I'm not liking it.

corsakh
06-22-2007, 08:52 AM
Variance. Reload.

Fiksdal
06-22-2007, 09:01 AM
No way. Villain could have a lot of aces up or other two pair combinations.

Fiksdal
06-22-2007, 09:01 AM
Also, this deep in a limped pot you need to 3bet the flop to build a pot. Otherwise pot pot pot isn't gonna get you AI by the river.

corsakh
06-22-2007, 09:03 AM
Ye, I would also call flop raise if I thought he was doing it with 66 or this type of hand. But then I am calling turn and only raising river.

Fiksdal
06-22-2007, 09:27 AM
[ QUOTE ]
Ye, I would also call flop raise if I thought he was doing it with 66 or this type of hand. But then I am calling turn and only raising river.

[/ QUOTE ]

this doesn't work, we are OOP

maccamack
06-22-2007, 09:29 AM
I guess you lost this. Frankly though, if you don't put all your money in in these spots you are missing out on so much. Your villian can have so many hands that you beat but be willing to call it all off with.... I am guessing you ran into 88.

Panic__NL
06-22-2007, 09:58 AM
I did, important is if this call is +ev or -ev, not what I ran in to.

SykoraG
06-22-2007, 10:10 AM
This is definately plus (+)EV and the same line should be taken again (way too many two pair combos). Although I like reraising it abit more to around 20 on the turn and I instacall a push.