I fold

[jessyj07]

Opponent is 22/7.4/.95/900 hands. I don't think I've played him for a while though. I'm basing my fold on this hand he just played at the same table and his stats. My thinking is that this is no different than TPTK because it's very very unlikely he has 2 pair here or QQ+ considering how nitty he is. I just don't think he raises QQ+ on the turn to my strong bet.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool (http://poker-tools.flopturnriver.com/Hand-Converter.php) from FlopTurnRiver.com (http://www.flopturnriver.com) (Format: 2+2 Forums)

CO ($13.60)
Button ($33.95)
Hero ($53.80)
BB ($48.40)
UTG ($35.30)
MP ($16.85)

Preflop: Hero is SB with 4/images/graemlins/club.gif, 2/images/graemlins/club.gif.
UTG calls $0.50, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises to $1.5</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, BB calls $1, UTG calls $1.

Flop: ($4.75) 7/images/graemlins/club.gif, A/images/graemlins/heart.gif, Q/images/graemlins/diamond.gif <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">BB bets $3</font>, UTG folds, Button calls $3.

Turn: ($10.75) K/images/graemlins/spade.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">BB bets $6</font>, Button calls $6.

River: ($22.75) 7/images/graemlins/diamond.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Button bets $16</font>, BB calls $16.

Final Pot: $54.75

Results in white below:
BB has Qs As (two pair, aces and queens).
Button has Ac 9s (two pair, aces and sevens).
Outcome: BB wins $54.75.

thee hand
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool (http://poker-tools.flopturnriver.com/Hand-Converter.php) from FlopTurnRiver.com (http://www.flopturnriver.com) (Format: 2+2 Forums)

UTG ($16.25)
MP ($48.50)
Hero ($63.30)
Button ($69.30)
SB ($48.40)
BB ($9.50)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 4/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, 4/images/graemlins/club.gif.
UTG calls $0.50, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $2</font>, Button calls $2, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, BB calls $1.50, UTG calls $1.50.

Flop: ($8.25) J/images/graemlins/heart.gif, 8/images/graemlins/club.gif, 4/images/graemlins/heart.gif <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
BB checks, UTG checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $6.5</font>, Button calls $6.50, BB folds, UTG folds.

Turn: ($21.25) 5/images/graemlins/diamond.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $18</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises to $36</font>, Hero folds.

Final Pot: $75.25

[corsakh]

So you think that he called you on a gutshot? Sorry I dont follow, fold is baaad.

[jessyj07]

[ QUOTE ]
So you think that he called you on a gutshot? Sorry I dont follow, fold is baaad.

[/ QUOTE ]no, I think he either had a gutshot+fd on the flop or a bigger set.

[Lego05]

[ QUOTE ]
So you think that he called you on a gutshot? Sorry I dont follow, fold is baaad.

[/ QUOTE ]

More likely he called with JJ, 88 I think.

However, I also think fold is bad. Although he did play his two pair with AQ incredibly weakly....so maybe it's not THAT bad.

[corsakh]

AF1 is the easiest type of opponent to play against. They are deadly straightforward. If he had a set he would raise you on this drawy board for sure. If you can put him exactly on 7h6h, fold is fine. Otherwise its bad.

[vixticator]

You folded a set on a not 4-flush board because he won a hand with two pair? WTF?

[Sotiria]

http://www.huge-entity.com/blogger3/scanners-exploding-head-3.jpg

[jessyj07]

[ QUOTE ]
You folded a set on a not 4-flush board because he won a hand with two pair? WTF?

[/ QUOTE ]stats over 900 hands saying uber passive as well.

[C4LL4W4Y]

Talk about monsters under the bed...you need to really see through someones soul to make this fold. That or TONS of history.

[orange]

Meh...I shove.

[Knuckles]

Even if he had hit his gut shot it is still 18 to win 75. The pot odds alone justify a call. Pot is so big I think you just need to push.

[justhetip]

Excellent fold. If this is never two pair, well played. I love it.

[DannyOcean_]

I don't think you can narrow his range to JJ, 88, or straight that narrowly. He could have AJ here, or some overpair. The pot is laying us awesome odds and i don't think we can read him strongly enough to call. i understand he is passive and straightforward, but there is no way i lay this down.