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View Full Version : 5NL: flopped nut 2pair facing push on river


kflip
06-10-2007, 05:19 PM
MP3 played 19/0 so far over about 50 hands. As played this is a mandatory call, isn't it? Any way to get away from this anywhere in the hand?

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $0.04 BB (10 handed) Hand History Converter Tool (http://poker-tools.flopturnriver.com/Hand-Converter.php) from FlopTurnRiver.com (http://www.flopturnriver.com) (Format: 2+2 Forums)

SB ($3.68)
BB ($5)
UTG ($4.40)
UTG+1 ($2.91)
Hero ($11.03)
MP1 ($4.11)
MP2 ($5.02)
MP3 ($6.35)
CO ($6.74)
Button ($9.48)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+2 with K/images/graemlins/spade.gif, A/images/graemlins/club.gif.
UTG calls $0.04, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $0.16</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, MP3 calls $0.16, <font color="#666666">4 folds</font>, UTG calls $0.12.

Flop: ($0.54) K/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, J/images/graemlins/club.gif, A/images/graemlins/spade.gif <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
UTG checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $0.4</font>, MP3 calls $0.40, UTG calls $0.40.

Turn: ($1.74) 2/images/graemlins/heart.gif <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
UTG checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $1.3</font>, MP3 calls $1.30, UTG folds.

River: ($4.34) 2/images/graemlins/diamond.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $2</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP3 raises to $4.32 (all-in)</font>, Hero?

takingcontrol
06-10-2007, 05:29 PM
as played, call the river push, we're getting about 4-1, so only need to be good one time in five for this to be neutral EV. we're ahead of all the rag aces (bar A2), KJ and AJ. Also, no draws came in, bar QT on the flop.
If villian is aggressive, we can check the turn and 3bet all-in. But i have no idea what hands we can get value from on the turn that we can't on the river, and the board is as dangerous as it's likely to get.

mugatu668
06-10-2007, 05:30 PM
You're beat...you can maybe fold, but calling is fine.

Ikaika
06-10-2007, 05:31 PM
Call river; you're gonna see QT a ton here though. Maybe a KJ that thinks he's been sneaky.

tannenj
06-10-2007, 05:32 PM
shove river yourself. as played, instacall. if he has JJ, A2, QT, that's just foul luck. folding after you bet $2 is beyond laughable.