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View Full Version : NL50 Bottom two from SB


ontiltsoon
06-09-2007, 07:35 PM
Poker Stars - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.25/$0.50 Blinds - 5 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter (http://www.legopoker.com/hh))

<font color="black">Hero (SB): $69.55</font>
BB: $47.90
UTG: $54.05
CO: $50.05
BTN: $11.25

<font color="black">Reads: </font><font color="blue">villian seems TAG</font>

<font color="black">Preflop:</font> Hero is dealt Q/images/graemlins/spade.gif J/images/graemlins/heart.gif (5 Players)
3 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $2.00</font>, BB calls $1.50

<font color="black">Flop:</font> ($4) Q/images/graemlins/diamond.gif K/images/graemlins/heart.gif J/images/graemlins/club.gif (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $3.75</font>, <font color="red">BB raises all-in to $45.90</font>, Hero ¿?

Easy Fold?

NSchandler
06-09-2007, 07:42 PM
Fold.

TexAg06
06-09-2007, 10:54 PM
Easy fold. Huge overbet shoves are almost always the nuts at these limits. Plus you only have $5.75 in the pot already, why risk so much more on a play you're unsure about?

evazan
06-09-2007, 11:06 PM
I didn't immediately think a fold was as obvious as the first to posters thought but when I considered what villains range was and stoved it I realized you are behind most of the time.

I made villains range TT+, any pair with a straight draw such as AQ or KT, any two pair, and any made straight.

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

119,790 games 0.047 secs 2,548,723 games/sec

Board: Kh Qd Jc
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 42.971% 40.03% 02.94% 47951 3524.00 { QsJh }
Hand 1: 57.029% 54.09% 02.94% 64791 3524.00 { TT+, ATs+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, T9s, ATo+, KTo+, QTo+, JTo, T9o }


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I think my range here is pretty accurate. Even if you add in some all Ax and Tx hands and some bluffs you will be be at best a couple percent ahead. I think this is a fold.

vixticator
06-09-2007, 11:11 PM
This seems like KQ, KJ, AT... maybe some KT/QT/JT combos do this too. But the first group is for sure more likely. Too much to call, fold.