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View Full Version : NL50 Reraise Flushdraw against shorty?

bigoliver
05-18-2007, 07:19 AM
In the retrospective i think calling is no option because I have no mush implied odds and am also calling on wrong odds. So is the reraise ok here even if he is so short?

Party Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.25/$0.50 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter (http://www.legopoker.com/hh))

SB: $19.00
BB: $23.30
UTG: $102.05
MP: $103.07
<font color="black">Hero (CO): $100.00</font>
BTN: $49.00

<font color="black">Preflop:</font> Hero is dealt 9/images/graemlins/diamond.gif T/images/graemlins/diamond.gif (6 Players)
2 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $1.75</font>, BTN folds, SB calls $1.50, BB folds

<font color="black">Flop:</font> ($4) 4/images/graemlins/diamond.gif 7/images/graemlins/diamond.gif Q/images/graemlins/heart.gif (2 Players)
<font color="red">SB bets $2.50</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $9.00</font>, SB calls $6.50

<font color="black">Turn:</font> ($22) 4/images/graemlins/spade.gif (2 Players)
SB checks, Hero checks

<font color="black">River:</font> ($22) 2/images/graemlins/spade.gif (2 Players)
<font color="red">SB bets $3.00</font>, Hero folds

Pot Size: $25.00
Visionary
05-18-2007, 08:03 AM
(I'm new at 2p2, so treat this with caution)

If you push and he folds you get a win of $6.5, and a call costs you his $14.75 in 2 out of 3 cases and wins you $21.25 if you hit the flush. So if x is the propability for villain to fold you get EV = x*6.5 + (1-x)*[(1/3)*21.25 - (2/3)*14.75] = x*6.5 + (1-x) * -2.75 = x*9.25 - 2.75 =&gt; x has to be greater than ~30%.

So the question is with which hands will a shortstack donk into you and are there more than 30% of those hands which he'd fold. (and here my hand evaluation experience is at an end and I have to resort to 'guess not' /images/graemlins/smile.gif)
ActionStan
05-18-2007, 08:21 AM
Why don't you have the implied odds on a call? The villain likely has a Q. You can almost surely get 1 more bet out of him if a diamond comes on the turn. You're about 4.5/1 to make the flush on the turn. You $2.50 call only has to get around $8 more out of him on the turn to be break even. Given his action on the flop, that seems very do-able.

I'm not so wild about the raise unless you really think you can move him off top pair or better.