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View Full Version : 50NL - AQs OOP 3-way

Willem
05-05-2007, 10:42 AM
MP was 13/10 over 200 hands.
CO was very loose and willing to gamble. I thought I could reraise preflop to get HU against CO, but since MP is so tight I was scared he might reraise me.

On the turn I think I'm basically bluffing at an empty side pot, but I thought I had so many outs i was willing to try to build a pot.

So, any comments?

PokerStars 50 NL Hold'em <font color="#0000FF">(6 handed)</font> HandRecorder (http://www.dmasn.com/handrecorder)

Stacks &amp; Stats
BU ($57.55)
CO ($7.95)
BB ($41.50)
UTG ($40.80)
MP ($126.85)
Hero ($49.80)

Preflop: Hero is SB with Q/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, A/images/graemlins/diamond.gif
<font color="#666666">1 folds</font>, <font color="#FF0000">MP raises to $2</font>, CO calls $2, <font color="#666666">1 folds</font>, Hero calls $1.75, <font color="#666666">1 folds</font>.

Flop: ($6.50) J/images/graemlins/heart.gif, 9/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, 6/images/graemlins/diamond.gif <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#FF0000">Hero bets $4</font>, MP calls $4, CO calls $4.

Turn: ($18.50) T/images/graemlins/spade.gif <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#FF0000">Hero bets $10</font>, MP folds, CO calls $1.95 (All-In).

River: ($30.45) Q/images/graemlins/club.gif <font color="#0000FF">(1 players, 1 all-in)</font>


Final Pot: $30.45.
ybother
05-05-2007, 03:19 PM
with stats like 13/10 mp is not raising light, i dont lead this flop, cc is okay, the problem is you have a the nut fdraw - but your overs may not be good
sww
05-05-2007, 04:05 PM
"but since MP is so tight I was scared he might reraise me."

It is only good for you if you get a chance to muck your hand preflop when facing superpremium hands. He won't 4-bet you light here ever.
shoxbb6
05-05-2007, 04:26 PM
I 3bet this preflop all day, especially with CO being very loose and having less than 20 bbs.
Flop lead is fine, Turn bet isn't large enough if you are actually going to bet, I'd make it around 14-15.
doppelganger
05-05-2007, 04:31 PM
[ QUOTE ]
with stats like 13/10 mp is not raising light, i dont lead this flop, cc is okay, the problem is you have a the nut fdraw - but your overs may not be good

[/ QUOTE ]

They might not be good, but I think we can discount them to about 3 outs, giving us a 12 outter, or about 45% equity. We have an edge against 2 villains so it's a good lead.

I don't have pokerstove, but can somebody put in a reasonable hand range and tell me how far my back of the envelope equity estimate is?
sww
05-05-2007, 04:39 PM
Don't we need that equity against two villains' calling range when betting for value? It goes even more complicated because it might be a good semibluff when the other villain holds air.
ybother
05-05-2007, 05:50 PM
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
with stats like 13/10 mp is not raising light, i dont lead this flop, cc is okay, the problem is you have a the nut fdraw - but your overs may not be good

[/ QUOTE ]

They might not be good, but I think we can discount them to about 3 outs, giving us a 12 outter, or about 45% equity. We have an edge against 2 villains so it's a good lead.

I don't have pokerstove, but can somebody put in a reasonable hand range and tell me how far my back of the envelope equity estimate is?

[/ QUOTE ]

assuming this is reasonable for both villains (first post of pokerstove related items, plz comment if I am off) you're right on, so you are right as reconsider about the flop lead...

19,659,213 games 0.719 secs 27,342,438 games/sec

Board: Jh 9d 6d
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 44.836% 43.60% 01.24% 8571379 242993.67 { AdQd }
Hand 1: 29.724% 28.55% 01.18% 5611840 231688.67 { 22+, ATs+, KJs+, QJs, AJo+, KJo+, QJo }
Hand 2: 25.440% 24.59% 00.85% 4834569 166742.67 { 22+, A7s+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, A9o+, KTo+, QTo+, JTo }