50NL; Flop trip Jacks; He pushes river ???

[Lego05]

Villian is 21.88/13.08/1.58 over 841 hands
He seems to be a thinking player.


PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool (http://poker-tools.flopturnriver.com/Hand-Converter.php) from FlopTurnRiver.com (http://www.flopturnriver.com) (Format: 2+2 Forums)

SB ($34.10)
BB ($82.35)
UTG ($49.65)
Hero ($72.45)
Button ($68.60)

Preflop: Hero is MP with 9/images/graemlins/club.gif, J/images/graemlins/club.gif.
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $2</font>, Button calls $2, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>.

Flop: ($4.75) J/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, J/images/graemlins/heart.gif, 5/images/graemlins/heart.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $3.25</font>, Button calls $3.25.

Turn: ($11.25) T/images/graemlins/diamond.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $7.5</font>, Button calls $7.50.

River: ($26.25) 7/images/graemlins/spade.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $14</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises to $55.85</font>, Hero ???

[urubu111]

Bet more on turn and more on river! As played I think you have to call because you induce a bluff betting 1/2pot.

[NSchandler]

I don't know, you've shown some real strength throughout the hand and he still doesn't seem scared. I'd probably muck it.

[mikechops]

I agree with betting more on the turn especially. I'd likely check/call the river. I don't see you getting a ton of value from a worse hand and ppl often bluff a missed flush draw if they sense weakness.

[mrw8419]

I was going to suggest c/r turn, but he has a pretty low aggression number. River is a fold as played, but c/c is better.

[Lego05]

I want to talk about this a little more.

I suppose his range here is made up of mostly midpairs and draws:

If I check the river I'd assume he'd usually check with the mid-pairs and maybe he'd bluff with some missed draws, but I don't really think that's too likely considering the aggression I've shown and his AF.

So I bet small hoping to get a call from one of those mid-pairs, which I admit may be unusual for him to call 3 streets with 1.


Looking at it maybe I am getting called so infrequently that check call and picking off an infrequent bluff is still better.....?

[TheRenaissance]

Easy fold.
He has you crushed.

[mrw8419]

If you want him to call with a mid pair you need to take a bluffier looking line. Betting two streets and then value betting the river for half pot doesn't look like a bluff so I doubt he calls with a bluff catcher. He might have turned a bluff catcher into a bluff with his push but I doubt it at these levels.

[HBomb]

I just lost a 600 BB pot the other night just like this when I raised the SB with AK and flop was KK3... he ended up having 33 on me, did you ever consider him having 55 here or a better J? Tough spot imo, but I'd probably make the call