77 midpair against decent TAG

[jumbojacks]

Villain is 20/11/2.6 over 300 some hands.

He'll play one pair hands rather conservatively. I'm betting the turn here for value against specifically him (I usually slow down but if I'm beat I'm likely seeing a raise on the flop). He doesn't seem to overly aggressive unless he's the aggressor and will value bet with half pot bets. I doubt he'll call the turn here with AT or something with a T unless he has some combo type draw. I'm not sure if he knows this, but I'm definitely capable of firing 2 barrels here with a draw.

Most of the time at this table I've only shown down big hands though. So I've been playing relatively tight, but aggressive post.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) internettexasholdem.com (http://www.internettexasholdem.com)

MP ($48)
CO ($48.55)
Button ($419.85)
SB ($57.85)
BB ($13)
Hero ($150.10)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with 7/images/graemlins/spade.gif, 7/images/graemlins/club.gif.
<font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $2</font>, MP calls $2, CO calls $2, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>.

Flop: ($6.75) 4/images/graemlins/heart.gif, 5/images/graemlins/club.gif, T/images/graemlins/club.gif <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $5.25</font>, MP calls $5.25, CO folds.

Turn: ($17.25) 2/images/graemlins/heart.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $12.5</font>, MP calls $12.50.

River: ($42.25) 2/images/graemlins/spade.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP bets $28.25 (All-In)</font>, Hero...

[Gelford]

Meh ... looks like a fold, can't see him bluffing here .... altho, there is the chance on him sitting on clubs with overs and not being good enough to raise the flop .... dunno ??

[juggler97531]

I don't like your turn bet. You say it's for value, but it puts you into very difficult river situation. If he called you with a draw than you leave a place for him to bluff river. I like your play with much better hand like overpair or AT b/c you can induce bluff on the river like this. Here however we are not comfortable calling the river so inducing bluff is no good.
So my option is check/fold turn.
As played i think i would call but don't like it very muich . I think Theory of Poker states that if you induce bluff then you should call it.

[fatman20]

I probably check/fold turn but I am a wimp. I guess I don't see where we are ahead on the river here. If your read is right that he plays one pair hands conservatively why would he raise you on the flop? This is either a J10, Q10, K10, A10 or a busted flush draw with overs. We need to decide which is more likely for the decision on the river.