50NL: In which hero folds AA in 3bet pot to flop c/rai

[Chomp]

Villain unknown.

Hero starts hand short because of sidgjpoidsgpUDISPNgpiDSMghSDFHZKNGKDbn in blind battle previous hand.

.................

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (5 handed) Hand History converter (http://www.learnhowtoplaypokerfree.com/convert/convert.cgi) Courtesy of PokerZion.com (http://PokerZion.com)

saw flop|<font color="#C00000">saw showdown</font>

SB ($33.83)
BB ($50)
<font color="#C00000">UTG ($45)</font>
MP ($80.50)
<font color="#C00000">Hero ($43.25)</font>

Preflop: Hero is Button with A/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, A/images/graemlins/spade.gif.
<font color="#CC3333">UTG raises to $2.5</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $7</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, UTG calls $4.50.

Flop: ($14.75) Q/images/graemlins/heart.gif, 7/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, 3/images/graemlins/diamond.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
UTG checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $11</font>, UTG calls $38 (All-In), Hero folds

[HANABI]

I would never fold here given the circumstances.

[wildzer0]

I would call this flop bet. The only thing you're afraid of is a set, and a typical villain's range is wide enough here to make this call

[thac]

Please don't.

Reload preflop too.

[wildzer0]

[ QUOTE ]


Reload preflop too.

[/ QUOTE ]

Do you guys all reload during the hand or something? If he lost a little bit of money on the last hand, he probably doesn't have time to reload before being dealt in.

[kolotoure]

Please don't fold

Hand 0: 56.299% 53.41% 02.89% 52344 2835.00 { QQ+, 77, 33, AdKd }
Hand 1: 43.701% 40.81% 02.89% 39996 2835.00 { AA }

[Chomp]

[ QUOTE ]
Please don't fold

Hand 0: 56.299% 53.41% 02.89% 52344 2835.00 { QQ+, 77, 33, AdKd }
Hand 1: 43.701% 40.81% 02.89% 39996 2835.00 { AA }

[/ QUOTE ]


I have Ad.



So...

Board: Qh 7d 3d

Hand 0: 56.313% { QQ+, 77, 33, KdQd }
Hand 1: 43.687% { AA }

[kolotoure]

lol i didn't realize. Still call

[Chomp]

[ QUOTE ]
lol i didn't realize. Still call

[/ QUOTE ]


Still call despite being a dog to his only conceivable range?

[thac]

62.5:25.25 = almost 2.5:1

That's around 70% equity, so you need to win around 30% (yay quick math), and you're 43% against his range.

What's the problem?


wildzer0 - I reloaded as soon as I folded every hand on every table, almost as a habit.

[mikechops]

Yeah you aren't far behind and you are getting over 2:1

Board: Qh 7d 3d
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 55.180% 52.20% 02.98% 8268 472.50 { QQ+, 77, 33 }
Hand 1: 44.820% 41.84% 02.98% 6627 472.50 { AdAs }

[wildzer0]

[ QUOTE ]

wildzer0 - I reloaded as soon as I folded every hand on every table, almost as a habit.

[/ QUOTE ]

That's impressive, maybe I'm too dependent on the auto reload ahk script /images/graemlins/smile.gif

[barryc83]

This is a bad fold.

[Chomp]

[ QUOTE ]
62.5:25.25 = almost 2.5:1

That's around 70% equity, so you need to win around 30% (yay quick math), and you're 43% against his range.

What's the problem?


wildzer0 - I reloaded as soon as I folded every hand on every table, almost as a habit.

[/ QUOTE ]



Jeeze thac, thanks. Had a complete brainfart here. Of course you are right.

FWIW, I actually called and he had QQ, but that's beside the point.

Thanks for comments. No more drunken session-reviews for me.

[kolotoure]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
lol i didn't realize. Still call

[/ QUOTE ]


Still call despite being a dog to his only conceivable range?

[/ QUOTE ]

Am i getting leveled?

[hra146]

LOLZ at you, Ima tell you what his range looks like (as a 50NL unknown at party) :


AQ, KK, QK , QQ , 77, (usually NOT 33 cause not a person raises those) and some percentile just random [censored].

Do not ever fold here.

[jonyy6788]

ZOMG INSTACALL PLZ

[derosnec]

your hand is defined

but there are so many hands he could have that we are ahead of, though i would expect top pair hands to lead. so the only hand that i can think would play it this way is KK/QQ/draws. i doubt AQ/KQ check raises. but people play so overaggro in RR pots, who knows. typically utg raises are not 77 or 33. this really feels like QQ (utg raise, call rr, c/r flop) but it's just one hand and his implied odds were destroyed pf. so i call.

[theflyingcow]

Will we ever see AQ here?

[Acein8ter]

[ QUOTE ]
Will we ever see AQ here?

[/ QUOTE ]

Yes, and he would probably push with it.... tptk is da nuts!!!

[JoshNjuice]

I say raise more PF (especially since you're a little short already). Call c/r-AI on flop. He could have a lot of hands that you beat, and the pot is pretty large. [insert deep math analysis here]

[Xanta]

This is a trivially easy call.

The range that was stoved above should include AQ, and with that you'll probably be a favorite to his range (assuming he's a decent player, which we don't even know). Even as a small dog pot odds dictate a call.