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View Full Version : Hand-reading exercise (stats + postflop)

Sober
04-18-2007, 07:50 PM
This one's pretty easy.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool (http://poker-tools.flopturnriver.com/Hand-Converter.php) from FlopTurnRiver.com (http://www.flopturnriver.com) (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Button ($8.75)
SB ($24.80)
Hero ($31.90)
UTG ($10.75)
MP ($0.95)
CO ($5.10)

Preflop: Hero is BB with J/images/graemlins/spade.gif, A/images/graemlins/spade.gif.
<font color="#CC3333">UTG raises to $0.75</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP raises to $0.95</font>, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, Hero calls $0.70, UTG calls $0.20.

Flop: ($2.95) Q/images/graemlins/heart.gif, J/images/graemlins/heart.gif, 8/images/graemlins/club.gif <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $2.25</font>, <font color="#CC3333">UTG raises to $9.5</font>

Villain is a 28/16 player who isn't completely terrible (aside from playing short and betting small pf). He makes authentic cbets and hasn't done anything totally out of line.

What is his range here?
Antinome
04-18-2007, 08:00 PM
wtf, I love donkbets but hate this one.

Range: {Ahxh,AQ+,JJ+,QJ,J8,Q8,88,KT,9T,Kh8h+,Th8h}

Putting him on a range isn't easy on this board, but your choice is clear anyway: you fold. You are behind or flipping and your hand is not going to improve.
fingersmith
04-18-2007, 08:04 PM
88/JJ+, AQ, AKh (?), KTh, maybe T9s?
fingersmith
04-18-2007, 08:06 PM
Antinome, good call on QJ and Ahxh, but with his stats, do you really think he's ever raising J8, Q8, K8, T8 UTG?
Margin Of Error
04-18-2007, 08:07 PM
[ QUOTE ]


What is his range here?

[/ QUOTE ]


If the read is correct, nothing you're ahead of. Easy fold.
Sober
04-18-2007, 08:18 PM
Yeah, this was certainly an instafold, but I wanted to see what you guys thought the likely ranges were.

Villain's hand in white below:

<font color="#FFFFFF">AQo, good call guys</font>
thac
04-18-2007, 08:18 PM
Yeah, easy fold, I figured you at least had top pair and were at the turn or something, but you have second pair, get to see a showdown for free and if you're ahead it's not by much. Just fold.
Antinome
04-18-2007, 08:20 PM
[ QUOTE ]
Antinome, good call on QJ and Ahxh, but with his stats, do you really think he's ever raising J8, Q8, K8, T8 UTG?

[/ QUOTE ]

my stats aren't far from that (I raise a few more hands) and T8s and J8s are definitely in my UTG range as occasionals. Mix in that he's probably less positionally aware and less in tune with implied odds and hands like Q8 and K8 might look better to him than T8 and J8. Yeah, I think they ought to be there. Definitely not as likely as some other hands, but possible.