$50NL Overpair Faces Flop AI

[Numfar]

Ultimate Bet
No Limit Hold'em Cash Game
$0.25/$0.50 Blinds
5 Players
LegoPoker HH Converter (http://www.legopoker.com/hh/)

SB: $101.20
BB: $32
<font color="black"> UTG: $49.25 </font>
CO: $93.25
<font color="black"> Hero (BTN): $124.70 </font>

<font color="black"> Preflop: </font> Hero is dealt K/images/graemlins/heart.gif K/images/graemlins/spade.gif (5 Players)
<font color="red"> UTG raises to $1.75 </font>, CO folds, <font color="red"> Hero raises to $7 </font>, SB folds, BB folds, UTG calls $5.25

<font color="black"> Flop: </font> ($14.75) Q/images/graemlins/diamond.gif 8/images/graemlins/spade.gif 9/images/graemlins/diamond.gif (2 Players)
UTG checks, <font color="red"> Hero bets $10 </font>, <font color="red"> UTG raises all-in to $42.25 </font>, Hero ???

Reads: Villain was 43/24/2 or so. Seemed like an idiot and may have been on tilt because he had lost 2 buy-ins at the table (1.5 with an OESD after calling a 40BB PSB on turn and the pushing when he missed the river). I would expect him to call my PF RR with pretty much anything so that includes JT or a medium pair - but I'd expect him to go broke with AQ or even KQ (or less given the OESD hand mentioned above). Easy call?

[yeotaJMU]

not an easy call, but given your read here i make it and cross fingers.

[orange]

i would call here.

[VegasNick]

call

[Numfar]

Thanks guys. He had JTo. I guess the fact that he would call a big re-raise with that makes the call on the flop profitable - he could have anything.

[catfish_01]

His range for that c-r could include a flush draw, a top pair+draw type hand, a set, air and of course the flopped nuts. I am surprised he fastplayed the flopped nuts but it could be because of the flush draw and his frustration at not getting there in previous hands.

While I'd say he has SOMETHING more often than nothing, that something includes things you beat often enough, so I think a call is good. High variance situation.