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View Full Version : NL50 two overcards and nuthflushdraw on flop


rapsu
03-26-2007, 01:58 PM
http://virta.info/hand/?id=108796324
Reads of the guy:

overbets pots on river
calls raise pf with Q5s
bets flushdraws

My hand was Ah Th

RAHZero
03-26-2007, 02:07 PM
When he pushes the flop, there's $96.5 in the pot and it costs you another $46.75 to call. You're getting better than 2:1, and you're 2:1 to hit your flush alone, so a call is only -EV if you put him squarely on a set. If your ace is an out as well as the hearts, then this is a definite call. If both your overs are good, you're ahead on the flop. Given the read, I have to believe villain's range is much, MUCH wider than just a set, so it's a call.

catfish_01
03-26-2007, 02:09 PM
Looks like a call to me too; the variance on this play is high but against a player who's LAG (which seems to summarize your read) you will win in the long term.

KJatl
03-26-2007, 02:13 PM
Villain's range is pretty wide here I think, given his tendencies preflop. A set, two pair, overpair, Ax for a pair, and a flush draw might all be in his range.

Pot odds are favorable but calling here is obviously a high variance play. I'm aggressive with my strong draws though, so I call here most of the time.