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View Full Version : My final bet to win and answer Alex


bongodog
03-23-2007, 04:51 PM
Long story short, I didn't know about this forum until a couple of weeks ago. I had my money already moved to a friend to handle, wink wink nudge nudge.

I had only looked at the hollywood round and the top 24. I had my list of my picks to bet on:
Jordin
Melinda
Blake (stood out to me)
Chris S.
Lakisha

Thats all I picked out.

My friend had problem getting the funds in until today. I'm pissed off how some sportsbooks shut me down at the last minute because, I lost a lot of money if I win because of it (odds were great 3 weeks ago.

I'm banking on
Blake and Jordin!

Melinda sure does look like she will win this based on the votes each week. But something tells me Jordin with her looks and power voice will grow big time to the finals. We are looking for the money note from her, so far as of last week she is starting to show it. Blake's fanbase, style, youth vote and google hits show he has legs.

I won't make much on Jordin based on todays odds at my betting house and because my low funds. I will make a nice chuck (to me) on Blake.

I'd throw a little more on each if I knew enough about how wsex works. I signed up but I'm not getting the concept down and I don't feel like asking stupid questions here,lol!
I'm just a wee bit tired of the whole ordeal for me with idol wagering. Plus I'm in the middle of a move!

Next year, I'll have more experience.

Last year, my first entry (late) I came close to win 30k or 10k on Elliott and Taylor to win or combo prop. Damn that Kat!

I'm an ex musician, I have an ear for who's going to make it! This year I tried to follow stats, hits and dial idol. It's not as clear cut this year. So my gut is telling me to go with these two. Also, to the people who laughed at my suggestion to do a numberology thingy on Blake or Jordin. I'm not telling you who will have their best day on final's night!

That is all!
BD

thing85
03-23-2007, 05:49 PM
For some reason, this post was hard for me to read. I'm confused about what your problem is.

So what you're saying is that you're pissed that some sportbooks shut YOU down (when it was really the whole US affected) and then after seeing who's been successful, you come in here telling us that you had these contestants picked during Hollywood week.

You're an ex musician with an "ear for who's going to make it" and yet you still like Blake. Blake will get far and could win based on a lot of factors, but his singing isn't great. Surely your musician ears will tell you that.

[ QUOTE ]
I'm not telling you who will have their best day on final's night!

[/ QUOTE ]

Are you a fortune teller? Even the best AI "analysts" don't have the slightest clue who will have their best day on finals night.

Overall, your post is very confusing and really doesn't contain any useful content. You've basically told us that 3 of the current "favorites" are the three people you like. I don't mean for this post to be a flame of any sort, but maybe it will cause you to clarify your point.

Also, WSEX isn't too difficult. Think of the buy price as the amount you have to risk to win $100 (per contract). Buy and sell as you would stocks (if you're familiar with the stock market "concept.") Buy low, sell high.

bongodog
03-23-2007, 09:08 PM
My ears also have eyes. I'm also in marketing. Blake has the whole package and demographics. And he does sing well. The uniqueness of his tone is there. Not a power punch singer but he has what I call style and tone. Think of Sting as a strong example. When you hear it, you recognize it.

Check his google hits against any one. The only one who passes him is Chris Richardson and that won't happen on Idol. Like I said the resources this year are weak tools.

AI analysts wouldn't understand numberology and that's a plus for me. Knowing spoilers won't help. Knowing what songs they will be doing is not really an advantage at all. We all know it's going to be a mixed bag of styles and we all know who cannot handle that mixed bag ahead of time. Maybe it's me, because I can hear it coming out of their mouths before the show due to my intense musical observation.

For example: Lakisha, try as she may on theme nights will bomb two out three times if she has that many chances. Last week was bomb number one. The odds of her being believable on lets' say, 90's night or Bee Gee's night are not high also. Stephanie was also another example of someone who looked and sang like a duck out of water on 60's night.

The only female who can handle variety besides Jordin is Melinda due to her background but will she be truely fresh and hot singing it like Blake can. the answer is no!

Looks guys, look at the songs each one has sung already. Who picks diversity from the get go! They are you winners!

And yes, I picked them out long ago. My first post was about him and Jordin. I wish I could show you my index cards I made for each during audition. Sorry, I tossed them out as I'm moving this week.

As I picked out Elliott last year when the final 12 were announced, that's when I first started watching as I heard he was from my town. I knew he would make the top 3 even though he was at the bottom of the pile and the bottom three more often than not.

That being said, I wish all you guys and ladies luck. I just wish I had more $ to spend this year. As I said, I really missed the boat on the better odds. There's always next year.

PS Jordin is this years Elliott. Improving with each performance. The difference, she looks good from the start! Lol!

Hey, I'm a green horn at this but I'm honest. I can understand people being skeptical of my posts. That's cool! I understand, I actually run a conspiracy forum,lol, so I understand!

Cheers

BD

mynamewastaken
03-23-2007, 09:23 PM
[ QUOTE ]

And yes, I picked them out long ago. My first post was about him and Jordin. I wish I could show you my index cards I made for each during audition. Sorry, I tossed them out as I'm moving this week.


[/ QUOTE ]

I'm as obsessed with this show as anyone here, but you sir need therapy by the bucketload.

[ QUOTE ]

Hey, I'm a green horn at this but I'm honest. I can understand people being skeptical of my posts. That's cool! I understand, I actually run a conspiracy forum,lol, so I understand!

[/ QUOTE ]

The evidence is really piling up.

bongodog
03-23-2007, 09:26 PM
Flame away, like I said, trolls, sock puppets I have cut my teeth on them running boards. You might want to chill out and be nice to posters. You sound like an upset, stressed out person to me. This seems like a decent place, don't turn it into personal attacks. Okay sparky!

mynamewastaken
03-23-2007, 09:50 PM
Your post is just a little creepy. And I'm not even 100% sure what your point is, but I was just having fun with you.

[ QUOTE ]
Check his google hits against any one. The only one who passes him is Chris Richardson and that won't happen on Idol. Like I said the resources this year are weak tools.

[/ QUOTE ]

If your point is that Blake wins because he gets more google hits than everyone but Richardson, I say that makes no sense. Or is your point that google is useless... if so why are you using it as an example while backing up Blake?

[ QUOTE ]

The only one who can handle variety is Melinda due to her background but will she be truely fresh and hot singing it like Blake can. the answer is no!

[/ QUOTE ]

Um...ok. Let me ask you a question: If you were me, how would YOU reply to this? Fresh and hot? Are you kidding me?

[ QUOTE ]

For example: Lakisha, try as she may on theme nights will bomb two out three times if she has that many chances. Last week was bomb number one. The odds of her being believable on lets' say, 90's night or Bee Gee's night are high also. Stephanie was also another example of someone who looked and sang like a duck out of water.


[/ QUOTE ]

Lakisha will bomb on theme nights? Based on what? She might not have done well last week but 90s is so broad she can sing whatever she wants. Also, duck out of water is a mixed metaphor at best. And do you mean 'unbelievable'? [censored] this is barely worth it.

[ QUOTE ]

As I picked out Elliott last year when the final 12 were announced, that's when I first started watching as I heard he was from my town. I knew he would make the top 3 even though he was at the bottom of the pile and the bottom three more often than not.


[/ QUOTE ]

Even if we are to believe your unsubstantiated claim that you picked Elliott early on last year, why should this be impressive or lend you credibility? He finished 3rd. If you bought him early on you made a nice ROI but hardly what you made picking Taylor or Katherine like other posters in this forum did, and they don't make threads bragging about it.

[ QUOTE ]

AI analysts wouldn't understand numberology and that's a plus for me.

[/ QUOTE ]

It's not a word. We don't understand it because you made it up and never explained it to anyone here, which is a good thing for the board and humanity in general.

I wish you the best of luck also, although I can't for the life of me figure out whom you've bet on. I imagine this will come in handy after the season ends so you will have been correct no matter who wins. Personally, I think you should go tout.

bongodog
03-23-2007, 09:58 PM
I said,

I'm banking on
Blake and Jordin!

Read above!

So much for giving my two cents, do what you feel is best.
Over and out!

thing85
03-23-2007, 11:48 PM
bongodog, your entire post just screams "hindsight bias" to me.

As myname has pointed out, numberology is not a word. Maybe you mean numerology?

[ QUOTE ]
Numerology refers to any of many systems, traditions or beliefs in a mystical or esoteric relationship between numbers and physical objects or living things.

Numerology and numerological divination were popular among early mathematicians, such as Pythagoras, but are no longer considered part of mathematics and are regarded as pseudomathematics by most scientists. This is similar to the historical development of astronomy out of astrology, and chemistry from alchemy.

Today, numerology is often associated with the occult, alongside astrology and similar divinatory arts. The term can also be used for those who, in the view of some observers, place excess faith in numerical patterns, even if those people don't practice traditional numerology.

[/ QUOTE ]

Sounds like a pretty solid science. Maybe we should check Lakisha's horoscope to see how well she'll do next week.

bongodog
03-24-2007, 12:33 AM
thing85, sorry, i've been very tired moving etc, typos big time for me now

not a lot of hindsight really,plus you can read my first post on this board


if you knew how pissed i am for not being able to get my bets in until today you'd know

the only reason i started watching the auditions this year was to get in early, didn't do me any good since my betting house made changes and i had to shuffle money to a friend and deal with neteller, sob story

no biggie, i made my bets today with 10 standing

jordin and blake either one will win, thats my opinion after studing all this stuff since auditions, i'm burnt out

good night guys and good luck, i'll be back in may for finals

bd

bigalt
03-25-2007, 12:45 AM
[ QUOTE ]
Also, duck out of water is a mixed metaphor at best.

[/ QUOTE ]

haha i didn't catch that.

I know voter tendencies like the back of my head!