PDA

View Full Version : overpair facing a shove deepstacked ($10NL)


d0ugla5
03-22-2007, 02:28 AM
Button is 22/16/3 over 100 hands. I don't have any real read on him, but I haven't seen him do anything weird besides one raise from UTG iwth 67s.
MP was 67/13/1.5 over about 100 hands. MP was loose, but cautious.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool (http://poker-tools.flopturnriver.com/Hand-Converter.php) from FlopTurnRiver.com (http://www.flopturnriver.com) (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Button ($18.90)
SB ($9)
BB ($8)
UTG ($12.40)
MP ($49.40)
Hero ($20.80)

Preflop: Hero is CO with A/images/graemlins/spade.gif, A/images/graemlins/heart.gif.
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP calls $0.10, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $0.6</font>, Button calls $0.60, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, MP calls $0.50.

Flop: ($1.95) J/images/graemlins/spade.gif, 8/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, T/images/graemlins/spade.gif <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
MP checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $1.4</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises to $18.3</font>, MP folds, Hero?

Any advice would be appreciated

jschaud
03-22-2007, 04:35 AM
i gotta dump this hand here. You may be slightly ahead of a multi draw, but i would find a better spot.

lemming
03-22-2007, 04:38 AM
yeah, fold I guess... Possible set, or multidraw as said. Maybe suicidal two pair? Dunno, but for me there's no value in this pot, 18$ into 2$ is too suicidal to call with an overpair only /images/graemlins/smile.gif

Panic__NL
03-22-2007, 04:44 AM
you are probably slighly ahead against a combodraw, and behind to a set, so I would not put my stack in here. If he is doing this with anything worse you will stack him eventually.

Genz
03-22-2007, 04:51 AM
The board is coordinated and villain probably does not have a big pair or big overs here, because he probably would have reraised preflop. So he either flat called with a smaller PP and has a set now or some SCs and has a combo draw or flopped straight. The best you can hope for is a combo draw. I doubt he'd push with AJ here. Stacks are too deep. Fold and hope that somebody else calls and you can see his cards.

lemming
03-22-2007, 04:53 AM
MP already folded, so no other players in the pot /images/graemlins/smile.gif

Genz
03-22-2007, 05:03 AM
ah, ok. overlooked that. fold anyway and hope he shows /images/graemlins/wink.gif

03-22-2007, 09:00 AM
Fold, you can only beat a bluff. Combo draws are coinflips and you are a huge dog against sets, st8s etc. Very reverse implied odds.

JadeRedstone
03-22-2007, 09:43 AM
To be honest, in $10NL , AJ, AT, JQ, JK etc are doing the same thing.
Don't really understand PT stats but I guess villain is very aggy.
Usually, low level aggressive players don't over bet monsters.

I'd have to feel it. Folding is the correct way in real poker. In micro levels. Well, it depends /images/graemlins/smile.gif