NL50 - Flush on Board, I have the Ace. What's my line?

[Ontario_Tory]

MP3 only has about $10 behind after his raise. This is a push / fold moment, I think.

1) Do you agree;
2) What do you choose?

MP3 has only shown down one hand, where he bet the river with top pair (busted flush draw) against a pretty obvious boat.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool (http://poker-tools.flopturnriver.com/Hand-Converter.php) from FlopTurnRiver.com (http://www.flopturnriver.com) (Format: 2+2 Forums)

saw flop|<font color="#C00000">saw showdown</font>

SB ($11.55)
BB ($55.10)
UTG ($9.20)
UTG+1 ($56.75)
MP1 ($52)
MP2 ($16.60)
<font color="#C00000">MP3 ($23.70)</font>
CO ($17.05)
<font color="#C00000">Hero ($58.15)</font>

Preflop: Hero is Button with Q/images/graemlins/spade.gif, A/images/graemlins/heart.gif.
<font color="#666666">4 folds</font>, MP3 calls $0.50, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $1.5</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, MP3 calls $1.

Flop: ($3.75) 5/images/graemlins/heart.gif, 3/images/graemlins/heart.gif, T/images/graemlins/heart.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
MP3 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $3.5</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP3 raises to $10</font>, <font color="#CC3333">

[Jouster777]

[ QUOTE ]

1) Do you agree;
2) What do you choose?


[/ QUOTE ]

1) Definitely push or fold
2) Fold unless you think he can do this with &lt;TP

[spyderracing]

Shove, unless he has AT or a set here you're a slight favorite. And even if he does have AT you're not that far behind. Plus the dude is a shortstack, may not even be on top pair.

[_TKO_]

You have two overs also. I don't understand Jouster's second point since we're pretty much the same vs any pair. Basically push if you think he's bluffing?

I think I'd just push and get it over with. Maybe he'll even fold with a bad pair.

[Atlanta Andrew]

I push, hoping that I have 15 outs + a tiny drop of fold equity (~5%).

I'm thinking this one becomes a fold when villain has like $5 - $10 more in his stack.

-Andrew

[Jouster777]

My point was that if TP is the worst part of his range then we are badly beaten. Here is a range that reflects that:
Board: 3h 5h Th
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 58.640% 58.33% 00.31% 27717 148.50 { TT, 55, 33, AKs, ATs, KhQh, KhJh, KTs, Kh9h, QhJh, QTs, JTs, 9h8h, 8h7h, 7h6h, AcKh, AdKh, AsKh, ATo, KTo }
Hand 1: 41.360% 41.05% 00.31% 19506 148.50 { AhQs }

I didn't correctly consider the amount of dead money though and this push with this range is EV=$1 so it is the correct move. Even better if he ever could fold or if he has anything worse than TP.

I stand corrected.