AJs vs a Nit

[Oracle]

Villain is 20/3.0/2.8.


PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool (http://poker-tools.flopturnriver.com/Hand-Converter.php) from FlopTurnRiver.com (http://www.flopturnriver.com) (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Hero ($49.75)
MP ($48.80)
Button ($49)
SB ($109.90)
BB ($121.60)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with J/images/graemlins/spade.gif, A/images/graemlins/spade.gif.
<font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $2</font>, MP calls $2, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, SB calls $1.75, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>.

Flop: ($6.50) 9/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, 5/images/graemlins/spade.gif, A/images/graemlins/club.gif <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $4.5</font>, MP folds, <font color="#CC3333">SB raises to $9</font>, Hero calls $4.50.

Turn: ($24.50) 3/images/graemlins/diamond.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets $12</font>, Hero calls $12.

River: ($48.50) 4/images/graemlins/heart.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets $18</font>, Hero calls $18.

Final Pot: $84.50

[creamfillin]

I probably fold this flop. There isn't a single hand we are beating that would do this. There are no feasible draws out there. I fold.

[barryc83]

How many hands are the stats over? I cant fold to the min raise on the flop, may be a leak of mine. On the turn you can fold, so many people cold call AQ/AK pf. On the turn youre thinking well he only bet half pot, and then on the river he bets less than half pot so I have to call. I used to convince myself to call down here too, but youre behind like everytime against this guy. I doubt he shows up with AT.

[Genz]

I hate check/minraise, too, and I try to watch what people do these with all the time. It's player dependant. As creamfillin says: the board is very dry so he is not semi-bluffing a draw here. I'm having trouble coming up with hands that you could beat here. It boils down to AT and maybe KK. I think I call this flop bet. But on the turn I'm out. You can't call three streets of value with this hand.