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View Full Version : Do you ever call here?


Ryan2009
02-26-2007, 01:22 PM
Villain is 30/20 over only 20 hands or so. No reads, but he has been fairly aggressive against me in two other hands.

.15/.25 NL

I cover villain. Stacks around $25.
Preflop
HERO A/images/graemlins/club.gifK/images/graemlins/club.gif
Folded to Hero on B who raises to 1
SB folds
Villain (BB) calls

Flop
8/images/graemlins/club.gifJ/images/graemlins/diamond.gifQ/images/graemlins/club.gif
Villain checks
HERO bets 3/4 pot
Villain raises all in

I know at these limits that sort of play is usually the nuts or close to it. But I have the nfd and the nsd. Can you find a fold? To call the push was about 1.7:1.

Thanks.

dirtysanchez
02-26-2007, 01:25 PM
i fold this like never

edit: because his line is complet air/lower flushdraw/pair+FD/2pair and you have pretty great equity here vs even the stronger end of his range

Voy Por Ustedes
02-26-2007, 01:57 PM
I think this is just a spot where you need to do some poker stoving and work out the EV.

Done some quick dabbling for you:

20,790 games 0.005 secs 4,158,000 games/sec

Board: 8c Jd Qc
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 40.996% 40.87% 00.13% 8496 27.00 { AcKc }
Hand 1: 59.004% 58.87% 00.13% 12240 27.00 { JJ+, 88, QJs, JcTc, QdJh, QdJs, QhJd, QsJh }

Looks like a call if I've done that right.

sputum
02-26-2007, 02:04 PM
Let's see how you do against the nuts

990 games 0.015 secs 66,000 games/sec

Board: Qc 8c Jd
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 43.333% 43.33% 00.00% 429 0.00 { AcKc }
Hand 1: 56.667% 56.67% 00.00% 561 0.00 { Th9d }

If he has TC9C, break your mouse (still less than a 2-1 dog tho /images/graemlins/tongue.gif)

VPIP100
02-26-2007, 02:05 PM
I call this always.

avfletch
02-26-2007, 02:10 PM
Sucks that the biggest drawing hand he can hold already has a straight but I'm still calling this without a second thought.

wulfpacker21
02-26-2007, 02:19 PM
I always call this when playing a cash game.... tournament I'd look at the situation

Dr_Mabuse101
02-26-2007, 02:22 PM
Nutflushdaw + Gutshotstraightdraw vs. only one Pockethand we are maybe drawing dead. No I never fold this.

marvin_1935
02-26-2007, 02:29 PM
never fold here, you have 2 overs+nfd+gutshot to the nuts. add this to the fact that he's playing his hand like a draw . . .

dirtysanchez
02-26-2007, 02:31 PM
[ QUOTE ]
Nutflushdaw + Gutshotstraightdraw vs. only one Pockethand we are maybe drawing dead. No I never fold this.

[/ QUOTE ]

which one?

Dr_Mabuse101
02-26-2007, 02:46 PM
Oh Im wrong. Sorry. The best hand he can hold on the flop is a Straight and we are not drawing dead.

Voy Por Ustedes
02-26-2007, 02:59 PM
Just out of interest, we're in better shape here vs the nuts (T9) than we are against the second nuts (QQQ). So we actually want the villain to hold T9 rather than a set.

Ryan2009
02-26-2007, 03:31 PM
Thanks everyone. I definitely did call and caught the flush card on the turn.

Villain had top set. When I stoved that one hand i had ~33% equity so I was taking the worst of it in that particular instance. But for his entire range, I can see that it is profitable.

Ryan