$50NL flopped a set with action

[AliasMrJones]

Villain was 50/0/4.2 over about 90 hands.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool (http://poker-tools.flopturnriver.com/Hand-Converter.php) from FlopTurnRiver.com (http://www.flopturnriver.com) (Format: 2+2 Forums)

AliasMrJones ($75.10)
SB ($51.30)
BB ($93.25)
UTG ($47.15)
MP ($36.50)
CO ($40.05)

Preflop: AliasMrJones is Button with T/images/graemlins/heart.gif, T/images/graemlins/spade.gif.
UTG calls $0.50, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">AliasMrJones raises to $2</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, BB calls $1.50, UTG calls $1.50.

Flop: ($6.25) K/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, T/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, 3/images/graemlins/heart.gif <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
BB checks, UTG checks, <font color="#CC3333">AliasMrJones bets $4.5</font>, BB calls $4.50, UTG folds.

Turn: ($15.25) 9/images/graemlins/heart.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">AliasMrJones bets $12</font>, <font color="#CC3333">BB raises to $86.75</font>, AliasMrJones ???

[Imrahil]

I raise to $2.50 PF. I bet like $6 on the flop. As played it looks like QJ but I don't think you can fold this given you most likely have outs if you're beat and villain has an AF of 4.2. You're also getting almost 2.5 to 1 odds which is around 30% to win and even if villain has a straight you're 20% to win. Even if you knew he had a straight calling wouldn't be a hugely -EV play.

[matrix]

preflops meh - $2 is OK $2.50 is better.

if the table is playing loose pre (and you expect a bunch of callers) adjust and increase your raises preflop when you have hands you want to play OTB it bumps the pot and makes getting stacks in much easier later on.

flops wet so you want to be betting close to pot size on wet flops for all your "CB's" so that when thy bite when you flop the effective nuts they're more pot committed and hav a hardertime folding while at the same time you cut down thier implied odds for drawing to a flush/straight significantly.

Turn is an easy call - this guy is VEY aggro post (he plays HALF the hands he's dealt and raises 4.5 times more than he calls!) - he has KT/AK/T9/AA and is scared of the TWO flush draws out there now - or he has 33 and is crushed - or he has KK and is crushing us or made a straight. On balance we're way ahead of most of his range have redraws to beat a turned straight/rivered flush so I snap call here getting nearly 2.5:1

[TheSalche]

Matrix is spot on, villain's range is too big, you're a big fav. mostly and when he's got JQ you've still got plenty of outs.

[Tony Montana 22]

Hey Alias!

As has been already said this villans range quite wide he could have alot here and given his aggro post flop stats there is no way I am giving him that much credit in this spot.