25NL stats checkup

[Splossy]

Hope this isn't a forum faux pas but I'd appreciate a stats checkup if anyone has the time - any obvious areas of concern etc. Thanks.

http://img235.imageshack.us/img235/5268/detailedstatsua7.jpg

http://img59.imageshack.us/img59/2843/positionstatsii6.jpg

http://img67.imageshack.us/img67/8253/miscstatsrj1.jpg

[SCBielski]

You're running about 30/16/1.6; this seems really off to me. You definately need to at least raise your aggression factor because 1.6 is pretty low, esspecially for a 2p2er. Your VPIP seems pretty high to me, but if that's part of your game (which it seems to be because this is over 15k hands and you're up pretty big) than I wouldn't try to drastically change it, but maybe just bring it down a little. Overall, good playing at $25NL, are you planning to move up soon?

[Gelford]

Sample size is awfully small, and I haven't spendt much time looking at your stat, but after a quick glance at your positional stats, I'd say you are spewing from the SB and in early position.

You can get away with a vi$ip that is 40 on the button but a vpip of 27 UTG is suicide. (Allthough some HSNL players can be profitable with a Vpip of 98 at uNL, it is perhaps not a good idea for mere mortals to overdo it)

[jtr]

Your really see 55% of showdowns after seeing the flop? That's amazing. I find this to be an extremely high number and it's hard for me to reconcile it with your winrate.

[thac]

You go to showdown WAY too often and it's affecting your Won$ at Showdown rate. It looks like you may be calling too many river bets as shown by your 1.82% fold river percentage. And you're looking very spewy in early position.

[Splossy]

I just noticed the AF had the "Include Preflop..." box ticked. Without that it is 2.78

So what would a more normal went to showdown and won $ at showdown look like?

It doesn't feel like I see 55% of showdowns but I can't see PT getting it wrong

[thac]

I think my went to showdown is around 21% and won at showdown is around 56% since I restarted my database after moving back to PS.

[Gelford]

Actually the thing is, that NL unlike limit has not much to do with stats, as many different kind of stats are viable and can show a win.

With you samplesize this small your showdown stat could be high simply because you've been running fantastic.

Another thing is that you might be one hell of a handreader, and so unlike others you make very thin, but good river calls.


That being said, the thing is that it is most likely too high, but how high is should be is hard to answer, it all depends, so basically what you should to is review the hands where you see a showdown in PT and see if you played then well or you should have made a laydown. Post the marginal ones.

Then play another 40.000-100.000 and take another look. 14.000 hands is nothing.

[Splossy]

Is it possible PT has some of this wrong? I just selected one session and the WTSD was 173%!

How can it be higher than a 100%?

[Splossy]

OK I checked and therewas a known PT problem. My real WTSD is c.25%.

Thanks for the pointers. Seriously need to tighten up early on.