PDA

View Full Version : 25NL 6m - fold AA here on the turn?


Prodigy54321
02-04-2007, 06:11 PM
Poker Stars
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25
5 players
Converter (http://www.neildewhurst.com/hand-converter)

Stack sizes:
UTG: $31.35
CO: $22.45
Button: $5.65
Pro-Diggidy: $58.20
BB: $27.85

Pre-flop: (5 players) Pro-Diggidy is SB with A/images/graemlins/heart.gif A/images/graemlins/club.gif
UTG calls, CO folds, Button calls, <font color="#cc0000">Pro-Diggidy raises to $1.75</font>, BB folds, UTG calls, Button folds.

Flop: 3/images/graemlins/diamond.gif 2/images/graemlins/club.gif 4/images/graemlins/club.gif ($4, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">Pro-Diggidy bets $3</font>, <font color="#cc0000">UTG raises to $7</font>, Pro-Diggidy calls.

Turn: 7/images/graemlins/heart.gif ($18, 2 players)
Pro-Diggidy checks, <font color="#cc0000">UTG bets $10</font>, Pro-Diggidy folds.
Uncalled bets: $10 returned to UTG.

Results:
Final pot: $18

villain is 22/11 but I have no specific reads against him

I think that his raise on the flop could very well be an overpair, but on the turn, I don't think many villains would make that bet again with something like 66 or 88 or something...and the fact that he limped preflop makes me think that KK-JJ is very unlikely..TT,99,88 are more likley given the limp..but again, I don't think too many villains bet like that on the turn with those hands..

so really, I am hoping for a few hands..TT,99,88,55,66...even a few of those have outs against me..

or maybe an AQc or something that decided to bet strong..still, I kind of see even that hand checking for the free card on the turn much of the time..

so what do you think, lay it down or push?

or suggest a different line...I figured that just calling the flop raise is best..but maybe not

Hank Scorpio
02-04-2007, 06:15 PM
Why is your PF raise so small?

I'm betting out the turn if a blank hit, which did.

Prodigy54321
02-04-2007, 06:19 PM
[ QUOTE ]
Why is your PF raise so small?

I'm betting out the turn if a blank hit, which did.

[/ QUOTE ]

small?..I though that was pretty standard...4xBB +1BB for each limper +1BB since I'm OOP..what would you suggest?

what size bet would you recommend on the turn?..would you be folding to a push?

Vyse
02-04-2007, 06:37 PM
I'm going to the felt with this

CHUDO
02-04-2007, 06:38 PM
He probably got mid PP here, possible set considering his bet on the turn, i also like Ac3c which i would also raise on the flop. Btw he may just have hit that 7. Id suggest re-raising the flop - A5, 3c5c, 5c6c seem not a threat but with no read on him u must re-raise lets say $5 more and see what he does.

Hank Scorpio
02-04-2007, 06:45 PM
Sorry, I thought this was .25/.50. You should bet to prevent a draw on the turn. $15 sounds mighty good.

barryc83
02-04-2007, 07:23 PM
I like it. 22/11, assuming you have a decent sample here, isn't bluffing. I'd bet he has a set here. I'll trust the stats here and lay it down. I'd call the min raise too, you have a straight draw and backdoor clubs. I like c/f turn. He would take the free card a lot with a draw.