View Full Version : Odds of flopping a pair.
Schizo
02-08-2006, 10:27 AM
If you have K8 what are the odds of you flopping a pair?
44/50 * 43/49 *?????
or
0.77224 * ????
Tom1975
02-08-2006, 10:44 AM
44/50 * 43/49 * 6/48 * 3=.2895
Note this is the odds of pairing exactly one of your hole cards, e.g. it includes flops like 845 and K33, but not K83 or 888.
Jouster777
02-08-2006, 12:32 PM
You can get the odds of pairing, two pairing, setting, boating, or quading (taking liberties with the English language) by calculating 1-P(miss flop) = =1-(44/50*43/49*42/48) = 32.4%.
Comparing this to Tom's answer gives a difference of 3.4% which should be the probability of two pair + set + FH + quads.
Its the probability of pair "or better" only when hole cards are not suited or connected because obviously flushes and straights would not be included.
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